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Dollar Steadies as Iran Euphoria Fades: Bank of America Warns “Don’t Chase the Move” as FOMC Hawkish Skew Risk Looms

Key Takeaways Dollar stabilizes: The DXY was little changed in London trade after hitting a 10-day low Monday; EUR/USD edged up 0.2%. Iran euphoria fading: Currency traders are beginning to fade the initial peace deal excitement as concrete details on sanctions and Hormuz remain scarce. Hawkish backdrop protects dollar: The …

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Bond Yields Hit Multi-Week Lows as Iran War Inflation Premium Unwinds: December Fed Hike Odds Collapse to 40%

Key Takeaways U.S. 10-year at 1-month low: The benchmark Treasury yield drifted to 4.43% as fixed-income markets aggressively priced out worst-case inflation scenarios. 2-year yield steadies: The policy-sensitive rate held at 4.05% after striking a one-week low in the prior session. December Fed hike odds collapse: The implied probability of …

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Wall Street Futures Pause After Monday’s Surge: Fed Meeting Begins as Brent Extends Drop Below $82

Key Takeaways Futures muted: Dow futures were mostly flat, S&P 500 futures slipped 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures ticked up 0.1%. Deutsche Bank’s read: “Markets have clearly stabilized this morning after the surge of optimism that surrounded the deal yesterday.” Monday’s records: The Dow gained 469 points (+0.9%), S&P 500 …

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Bitcoin Treads Water at $66K as Fed Meeting and Iran MOU Signing Keep Traders Cautious

Key Takeaways Bitcoin barely moves: The world’s largest crypto rose just 0.4% to $66,116.4 as caution prevailed ahead of two major catalysts. Recovery fading: Bitcoin had bounced in recent sessions on Iran peace deal optimism, but the upside is stalling. Iran MOU signing Friday: Both sides agreed to halt hostilities, …

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Trump Says Hormuz “Completely Open” by Friday as G7 Diplomacy Accelerates: Israel’s Lebanon Offensive Threatens to Derail MOU

Key Takeaways Trump’s Friday deadline: Speaking at the G7 in France, the president said the Strait of Hormuz is already “partially opened” and will be “completely opened” by Friday. WSJ contradicts timeline: Senior U.S. officials told the paper it could take two weeks for normal shipping operations to resume. Brent …

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Oil Holds Near 3-Month Lows as Hormuz Deal Details Awaited: Trump Says Ships Moving But Full Recovery Months Away

Key Takeaways Oil edges lower: Brent fell 0.5% to $82.75 per barrel, while WTI dipped 0.3% to $80.54 — consolidating near Monday’s 5% crash. Both at March lows: Monday’s sharp selloff erased much of the geopolitical risk premium built up during the Gulf conflict. MOU details: Trump’s interim deal extends …

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