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Kevin Warsh, President Donald Trump’s nominee to succeed Jerome Powell at the helm of the Federal Reserve, appeared before the Senate Banking Committee on Tuesday in a confirmation hearing that observers described as one of the most consequential in the central bank’s recent history. His testimony was rich with bold …

Key Takeaways: Futures rebound: U.S. stock futures tick higher as “dip buyers” look past weekend geopolitical flare-ups, banking on an extension of the U.S.-Iran ceasefire. Warsh in the hot seat: Federal Reserve Chair nominee Kevin Warsh faces his Senate confirmation hearing today, where his commitment to central bank independence will …

Key Takeaways: Headline beat: U.S. retail sales jumped 1.7% in March, significantly topping the 1.4% forecast, but the surge was largely fueled by soaring prices at the gas pump rather than organic demand. The conflict premium: A 24.1% spike in retail gasoline prices—driven by the U.S.-Israel war with Iran—is estimated …

Key Takeaways: Cautious trading: European equities opened mostly subdued, with the Stoxx 600 inching up just 0.1% as geopolitical anxieties cap upside momentum. Ceasefire on the brink: The imminent expiration of a fragile U.S.-Iran truce has investors on edge, exacerbated by conflicting signals regarding upcoming peace talks in Pakistan. Warsh …

Key Takeaways: Massive Capital Injection: Amazon is investing $5 billion immediately into Anthropic, with an additional $20 billion tied to future commercial milestones. $100 Billion AWS Commitment: In return, Anthropic has committed to spending over $100 billion on Amazon Web Services (AWS) infrastructure over the next decade. Silicon Independence: The …

Key Takeaways: Blockade stands firm: President Trump insists the U.S. naval blockade will remain in place until a comprehensive peace deal is reached, claiming the strategy is “destroying Iran.” Hormuz choked off: Tehran has re-closed the Strait of Hormuz following the U.S. seizure of an Iranian vessel, vowing to keep …

Key Takeaways: Crude gives back gains: Brent dips 0.5% to $95.00 a barrel and WTI drops 0.9% to $86.68, shedding some of Monday’s massive geopolitical risk premium. Blockade stands firm: President Donald Trump confirms the sweeping U.S. naval blockade against Iran will remain active until a comprehensive peace deal is …

Key Takeaways: Gold remains rangebound: Spot gold dipped 0.6% to $4,790.05, remaining trapped in a tight $4,700-$4,900 holding pattern as investors weigh geopolitical risks against inflation fears. Ceasefire on the brink: A fragile U.S.-Iran truce expires Wednesday, with mixed diplomatic signals emerging following the U.S. seizure of an Iranian vessel …

The Dow Jones reversed its downward trend, rebounding with notable gains. As a reminder, in our previous technical report, we noted that a return to a stable trading level above 49,420 could temporarily halt the bearish scenario, potentially leading to a retest of 49,610 and then 49,750. Technical Outlook – …

The USD/CAD pair successfully achieved the first target outlined in our previous technical report at 1.3630, maintaining its anticipated downward trajectory. Technical Outlook – 4-Hour Timeframe: On the shorter timeframes, the simple moving averages have resumed their role as dynamic resistance, exerting consistent downward pressure on price action. This bearish …