US trade deficit in goods hit a fresh record in November due to strong demand and an easing of supply-chain issues.California’s Port of Los Angeles is struggling to keep up with the influx of cargo containers arriving at its terminals, creating one of the biggest obstruction points in the global …
Read More »Oil Prices Jump as Iran Tensions Escalate and U.S. Crude Inventories Shrink
Oil prices surged on Wednesday, with U.S. crude climbing more than 2% as renewed geopolitical tensio…
Gold Drops Over 3% After CPI Data Reinforces Higher-for-Longer Rate Outlook
U.S. Inflation Figures Weigh on Gold as Markets Scale Back Expectations for Interest Rate CutsGold p…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% as Gasoline Prices Surge 40.5%: Fed Rate Hike Bets Solidify
Key Takeaways Headline CPI accelerates: Annual consumer prices rose 4.2% in May — up from 3.8% in Ap…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% in May: Iran War Energy Shock Keeps Inflation Pressure Firmly Elevated
Key Takeaways CPI at 3-year high: Annual U.S. consumer inflation rose to 4.2% in May — the highest r…
Trump Threatens Iran Power Plants and Bridges as Talks Collapse: Oil Surges 2% on “Bully of the Middle East is DEAD” Post
Key Takeaways Oil rebounds sharply: Brent rose 1.7% to $93.03 per barrel, while WTI climbed 2.0% to …
May Inflation Expected at 4.2%, Highest in Three Years as Iran War Ripples Through Consumer Prices
Key Takeaways 4.2% annual CPI expected: If confirmed, it would mark the highest inflation reading si…
Barclays: European Stocks Can Handle ECB Rate Hikes Better Than 2011 — Banks, Energy, and Miners the Top Picks
Key Takeaways ECB 25bp hike expected Thursday: Policymakers responding to Iran war energy-driven inf…
Wall Street Futures Slide as Iran Strikes Resume and Tech Rally Fizzles: CPI Data the Last Hope for Market Direction
Key Takeaways Futures fall: S&P 500 futures dropped 0.2% to 7,373.75, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.…
Bitcoin Crashes 3% as Iran Missile Barrage Crushes Peace Hopes: ETF Outflows Slow But War Fears Dominate
Key Takeaways Bitcoin falls 3%: The world’s largest crypto dropped to $61,375.5, wiping out mo…
Oil Rebounds 1.8% as U.S. Strikes Iran Over Downed Helicopter: Ceasefire Unravels and API Shows Massive 9M Barrel Draw
Key Takeaways Oil bounces back: Brent rose 1.8% to $93.08 per barrel, while WTI climbed 1.8% to $89.…
Market Analysis
January, 2022
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6 January 2022 9:51 pm
Fed’s Daly: We will need to raise interest rates to keep economy in balance
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President and FOMC member Mary Daly said on Thursday that policymakers will need to raise interest rates to keep the economy in balance. “Even if we do a couple of interest rate increases, monetary policy will still be accommodative”, she added. Additional Remarks:“Inflation is …
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6 January 2022 8:31 pm
WTI Briefly Eclipses $80.00 level to Multi-Week Highs
The WTI crude oil briefly eclipsed the $80 per barrel level for the first time since mid-November as OPEC+ struggles to lift output.Crude oil prices have rallied despite recent downside in global equities after hawkish Fed minutes, and are keeping an eye on Kazakhstan unrest.Front-month WTI futures have surged on …
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6 January 2022 8:00 pm
US: ISM Services PMI falls to 62.0 in December Below Expectations
The Institute of Supply Management’s headline Services PMI index fell to 62.0 in December versus forecasts for a fall to 66.9 from 69.1 in November. Business Activity fell to 67.6 from 74.6. Prices Paid rose to 82.5 from 82.3. New Orders fell to 61.5 from 69.7, the lowest such reading …
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6 January 2022 7:17 pm
US Factory Orders Rise Slightly Above Expectations
According to US Census Bureau data, US Factory Order rose by 1.6% MoM in November. That was slightly above the expected 1.5% gain and marked an acceleration on the 1.2% MoM gain seen back in October (which was revised up from 1.0%). Excluding transportation, orders were up 0.8% on the …
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6 January 2022 6:22 pm
Market Drivers – European Session 6-1-2022
Investors are still feeling their feet as the year begins and await key US data due this week. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced on Thursday that they will decide on a quasi-emergency declaration for parts of Japan on Friday, as reported by Reuters. A Reuters survey showed on Thursday …
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6 January 2022 5:42 pm
US: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Rise to 207K
There were 207,000 initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US during the week ending January 1, data published by the US Department of Labor (DoL) revealed on Thursday. This reading followed last week’s print of 200,000 (which was revised up from 198,000) and came in slightly above consensus market …
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6 January 2022 3:36 pm
BOE: Output Price Inflation Seen at 4.5% to December 2022
Businesses in the UK see year-ahead output price inflation at 4.5% in the three months to December, up from 4.2% in November, the Bank of England’s (BOE) Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey revealed on Thursday. “Annual output price inflation continued to increase in the DMP, reaching 5% on average in …
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6 January 2022 2:46 pm
The Dollar Resumes Its Rise
The US dollar rebounded to its most recent 14-month high, as the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes reinforced expectations of a US interest rate hike in March. The minutes of the US central bank’s meeting in December revealed that officials discussed reducing the bank’s total holdings and raising interest rates …
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6 January 2022 1:34 pm
European Shares Drop 1% After Signs of US Monetary Tightening
European shares fell more than 1% on Thursday, after indications from the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting (the US central bank) of the tendency to tighten monetary policy, which dampened the morale of investors around the world and led to turmoil in technology shares. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index …
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6 January 2022 12:31 pm
German Factory Orders Rebound Sharply by 3.7% MoM
The German Factory Orders rebounded more than expected in November, suggesting that Europe’s economic powerhouse’s recovery in the manufacturing sector seems to have regained traction. Contracts for goods’ Made in Germany’ jumped 3.7% on the month vs. 2.1% expected and -5.8% last, the latest data published by the Federal Statistics …
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6 January 2022 12:29 pm
Gold Falls After Bond Yields Rise
Gold prices fell Thursday, January 6, as US Treasury yields rose, after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting indicated the fastest rate hike in interest rates to curb inflation. Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasury bonds rose to the highest level since April 2021, raising the opportunity cost …
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6 January 2022 4:30 am
Reuters survey: OPEC Production rose in December
A Reuters survey showed on Thursday that the increase in OPEC oil production in December was also less than the increase planned under an agreement with allies, highlighting the constraints faced by production capacity that curb supply as global demand recovers from the repercussions of the Corona pandemic. The survey …
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