Will the Bank of England hike interest rates again at the beginning of February? Market observers do believe the answer is yes. The monetary policy committee may wait until May, though February’s meeting is looking much more 50:50 than it did just a few weeks ago. Partially, that is because …
Read More »Oil Prices Jump as Iran Tensions Escalate and U.S. Crude Inventories Shrink
Oil prices surged on Wednesday, with U.S. crude climbing more than 2% as renewed geopolitical tensio…
Gold Drops Over 3% After CPI Data Reinforces Higher-for-Longer Rate Outlook
U.S. Inflation Figures Weigh on Gold as Markets Scale Back Expectations for Interest Rate CutsGold p…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% as Gasoline Prices Surge 40.5%: Fed Rate Hike Bets Solidify
Key Takeaways Headline CPI accelerates: Annual consumer prices rose 4.2% in May — up from 3.8% in Ap…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% in May: Iran War Energy Shock Keeps Inflation Pressure Firmly Elevated
Key Takeaways CPI at 3-year high: Annual U.S. consumer inflation rose to 4.2% in May — the highest r…
Trump Threatens Iran Power Plants and Bridges as Talks Collapse: Oil Surges 2% on “Bully of the Middle East is DEAD” Post
Key Takeaways Oil rebounds sharply: Brent rose 1.7% to $93.03 per barrel, while WTI climbed 2.0% to …
May Inflation Expected at 4.2%, Highest in Three Years as Iran War Ripples Through Consumer Prices
Key Takeaways 4.2% annual CPI expected: If confirmed, it would mark the highest inflation reading si…
Barclays: European Stocks Can Handle ECB Rate Hikes Better Than 2011 — Banks, Energy, and Miners the Top Picks
Key Takeaways ECB 25bp hike expected Thursday: Policymakers responding to Iran war energy-driven inf…
Wall Street Futures Slide as Iran Strikes Resume and Tech Rally Fizzles: CPI Data the Last Hope for Market Direction
Key Takeaways Futures fall: S&P 500 futures dropped 0.2% to 7,373.75, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.…
Bitcoin Crashes 3% as Iran Missile Barrage Crushes Peace Hopes: ETF Outflows Slow But War Fears Dominate
Key Takeaways Bitcoin falls 3%: The world’s largest crypto dropped to $61,375.5, wiping out mo…
Oil Rebounds 1.8% as U.S. Strikes Iran Over Downed Helicopter: Ceasefire Unravels and API Shows Massive 9M Barrel Draw
Key Takeaways Oil bounces back: Brent rose 1.8% to $93.08 per barrel, while WTI climbed 1.8% to $89.…
Market Analysis
January, 2022
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8 January 2022 12:43 am
Eurozone Inflation Soars To Record 5 Percent,
Inflation in the Eurozone climbed to an annual rate of 5 percent in December, the second-consecutive record, according to the European Union statistics office’s initial estimate, which was released on Friday.The rate was slightly higher than the previous month’s increase of 4.9 percent. Inflation around the world has jumped as …
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8 January 2022 12:23 am
US Drillers Add Oil, Gas Rigs For Fourth Week
US energy companies kicked off the new year by continuing to add oil and natural gas rigs this week after increasing the rig count in 2021 after two years of declines.The oil and gas rig count, an early indicator of future output, rose two to 588 in the week to …
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7 January 2022 11:31 pm
US Treasury Yields Surge On Wage Growth
The US 10-year note’s yield extended its climb, reaching the highest level in nearly two years, after December employment data showing strong wage growth fanned inflationary concerns and solidified March as the likely starting point for the first rate hike by the Federal Reserve.While the 199,000 new jobs fell short …
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7 January 2022 10:32 pm
WTI Maneuvering Geopolitical Worries, Still Targeting Solid Weekly Gains
WTI slipped back under $79.00 on Friday but remains on course for substantial weekly gains. Supply as well as geopolitical issues have been key drivers of oil this week, with the broader macro-economic story taking a back seat. Oil prices have come under modest selling pressure on the final day …
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7 January 2022 9:49 pm
Weaker USD Shields Gold From Surging Yields
Gold has been swinging either side of the $1790 level in recent trade in wake of the latest jobs report. XAU/USD is being shielded from higher yields by the weaker US dollar, and if this reverses, gold will be in trouble.Gold is nervously holding on to very modest on-the-day gains …
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7 January 2022 8:38 pm
NFP Data Puts US Shares Under Pressure
The S&P 500 index is down by about 0.6% as yields rally, hurting the dominant tech sector. The latest US jobs report, though mixed, has been interpreted as endorsing the Fed’s monetary tightening plans for 2022.The S&P 500 is trading on the back foot as its heavyweight tech sector suffers …
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7 January 2022 8:09 pm
Fed’s Daly: Inflation not temporary because Covid-19 isn’t either
San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said on Friday that inflation is not as temporary as the Fed policymakers once thought because Coivd-19 isn’t either. A wage-price spiral isn’t showing up in the data yet, she added, but is worth watching for. Key Quotes“Anchored longer-run inflation expectations also …
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7 January 2022 7:45 pm
NFP To Encourage Tightening, Keep USD Strong
Nonfarm Payrolls relatively disappointed prior estimates, but the labor market indicators were stronger than expected. The employment data has had a modest impact on the forex market. In the light of the NFP data, the US Fed is very determined to move out of easing policy settings.The disappointment in payrolls …
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7 January 2022 5:45 pm
Canada: Economy Adds 54.7K Jobs in December
The Canadian economy added 54.7K jobs in the month of December, above expectations for a 27.5K gain, though still a marked deceleration from the 153.7K jobs added in November, according to the latest release from Statistics Canada released on Friday. Canada saw 122.5K new jobs in full-time employment, whilst part-time …
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7 January 2022 5:33 pm
US Non-farm Payrolls rise by 199K in December
Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) rose by 199K in December versus the median forecast for a 400K rise (some newswires had reported the median forecast at 447K), data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed on Friday. That meant the pace of job gains was roughly in line with November, …
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7 January 2022 3:55 pm
Oil Jumps on Supply Concerns With Kazakhstan Unrest
Oil prices rose on Friday and headed for the highest weekly increase since mid-December, due to unrest in Kazakhstan and production outages in Libya, which raised concerns about supplies. Brent crude futures rose 76 cents, or 0.9 percent, to $82.75 a barrel by 0939 GMT. US West Texas Intermediate crude …
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7 January 2022 3:39 pm
What to Expect From US Employment Data?
Markets are awaiting the release of US employment data during December at 13:30 GMT. This data will be necessary given its strong impact on the dollar and the currency market movements. Markets expect to add 400,000 jobs in December, compared to 210,000 jobs previously recorded. Expectations also indicate a decline …
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