Data released on Wednesday showed the ISM Service Sector dropped unexpectedly to 57.1 in April. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out that while supply remains a problem for service-producers, a pullback in demand and hiring were the top factors weighing on activity during the month. Key Quotes: “Activity in the …
Read More »Wells Fargo: Inflation likely peak in March, to remain above 6% in Q4
The annual rate of inflation climbed to 8.5% in March, the highest level since 1981. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out that despite wide-ranging price increases again in March, they believe this likely marks the peak in post-COVID inflation. They expect demand for goods to waver as spending pivots back …
Read More »US Diminished purchasing power Impacts real spending
February marked the seventh straight month in which inflation outpaced income, raising doubts about consumer spending stamina, explained analysts at Wells Fargo commenting personal income and spending data released on Thursday. Even with inflation at a 40-year high, the 0.4% drop in real spending in February might be overstating the …
Read More »Wells Fargo: US Economic Growth Was Strong At The End Of 2021
Data released on Wednesday, showed real GDP grew during the fourth quarter an annualized rate of 6.9%, below the 7% of previous estimates. According to analysts at Wells Fargo, the sequential rate of real GDP growth likely has downshifted in the first quarter of 2022, but it appears to have …
Read More »Wells Fargo: US February’s CPI Presented No Surprises
Data released on Thursday showed inflation in the US reached in February the highest level since 1982. Although the magnitude and drivers were largely as expected, inflation continues to rage at a pace deeply unsettling for consumers and policymakers alike, explained analysts at Wells Fargo. Key Quotes: “For the first …
Read More »US Widening Trade Deficit Driven By Weak Export Growth
Data released on Tuesday, showed the US trade deficit widened in January to a new record high. Analysts at Wells Fargo point out it reflects the relative out-performance of the US economy during a pandemic era characterized by volatile swings but generally an environment of faster growing imports and slower …
Read More »US Retail Sales Likely Bounced in January – Wells Fargo
On Wednesday, the January retail sales report will be released is due in the US. According to analysts at Wells Fargo, sales likely rebounded rising 2.1%, a number above the 1.6% increase of market consensus. Key Quotes: “Retail sales declined sharply to end 2021. During December, total sales fell 1.9%, …
Read More »CPI Keeps The Door Open For A US 50bp Interest Hike in March
Data released on Thursday showed higher-than-expected inflation numbers with the annual CPI hitting the highest level since 1982. The upside surprise, even as areas like energy goods and autos cooled as expected, illustrates that inflation continues to carry plenty of momentum, and any meaningful slowdown remains elusive, explained analysts at …
Read More »Wells Fargo Expecting ECB to start moving rates in December
Beyond March, analysts at Wells Fargo expect the European Central Bank to start raising its Deposit Rate shortly after it completes its net bond purchases.An initial 25 bps Deposit Rate hike is expected in December 2022 and another 25 bps hike in March 2023. They consider the divergence between the …
Read More »NFP expected to fall by 100000 in January
On Friday 4 February, the US official employment report will be released. Market consensus is for an increase in payrolls of 155K while Wells Fargo expects a decline by 100K. They anticipate average hourly earnings to rise by 0.6% during January.Key Quotes: “In recent months, there have been substantial revisions …
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