The EUR/USD pair’s upside momentum faltered once again around 1.0530. The breakout of that resistance could lead up to a test of 1.0713. The EUR/USD pair gives away initial gains and sinks in the red territory below the 1.0500 support on Thursday. The constructive outlook for EUR/USD should remain unchanged …
Read More »US Index Futures Under Pressure Amid Iran War Escalation and Oil Spike
US stock index futures moved lower ahead of the trading session, reflecting rising investor caution …
Why It Matters: UAE Strengthens Energy Exports With Strategic Pipeline Bypassing Hormuz
The United Arab Emirates is moving to reshape its energy export strategy with the construction of a …
Fragile Pause in the World’s Biggest Economic Rivalry After Leaders’ Talks
The trade relationship between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies, remai…
Carry Trades Roar Back as Interest Rate Gaps Drive G10 Currency Rally
Currency carry trades are enjoying their strongest performance in years as investors return to high-…
British Pound Slides as UK Political Turmoil and Iran Tensions Boost US Dollar
The British Pound extended its sharp decline on Friday, heading toward its fourth consecutive daily …
WTI Oil Surges Above $100 as Trump-Xi Summit Intensifies Supply Concerns
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed above the key $100-per-barrel level on Friday, as markets reac…
Euro Slides Toward Monthly Lows as Hawkish Fed Bets Strengthen US Dollar
The Euro weakened further against the US Dollar on Friday, with the EUR/USD pair falling toward its …
Oil Erupts Over 2% as Trump Declares War of Words on Iran: Weekly Gains Hit 10% Despite Xi Summit Charm Offensive
Key Takeaways Sharp Friday gains: Brent crude rose 2.8% to $108.65 per barrel, while WTI surged 3.4%…
Trump-Xi Summit Wraps with “Series of New Consensus” — But Concrete Deals Remain a Mystery
Key Takeaways Second round concluded: Trump and Xi wrapped their second round of talks Friday, per C…
Wall Street Futures Tumble as Iran War Threats and Chip Export Snub Crush Record-High Mood
Key Takeaways Futures fall sharply: S&P 500 futures dropped 1.1% to 7,440.50, Nasdaq 100 futures…
Market Analysis
January, 2023
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5 January 2023 7:27 pm
US NFP Preview
The buoyancy of nonfarm payroll growth has seemed at probabilities with other signs that the jobs market is beginning to sour. As a result, we look for nonfarm payroll growth to decrease noticeably in the months ahead, starting with December’s employment report showing hiring slowing to 205,000. Demand for employees …
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5 January 2023 6:02 pm
US: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims decline to 204K
There were 204,000 initial jobless claims in the week ending December 31, the weekly data published by the US Department of Labor (DOL) showed on Thursday. This print followed the previous week’s print of 223,000 and came in better than the market expectation of 225,000. Further details of the publication …
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5 January 2023 5:15 pm
European shares fell after FOMC minutes dispelled policy change hopes
European stocks fell on Thursday ahead of the release of inflation data in the eurozone and after the release of the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting in December, which showed the US central bank’s commitment to curbing inflation. The pan-European STOXX was down 0.3% by 0810 GMT, after rising …
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5 January 2023 4:20 pm
Petroleum Institute: US oil stocks rose by 3.3 million barrels
The American Petroleum Institute said that crude oil inventories rose by 3.3 million barrels in the week ending on the 30th of last December. In its weekly report, the American Institute stated that gasoline stocks rose by 1.2 million barrels, while distillate stocks decreased by 2.4 million barrels. Today, Thursday, …
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5 January 2023 3:33 pm
The aggressive US central bank speech fails to support USD
The dollar struggled to rally on Thursday even though policymakers at the US Federal Reserve reaffirmed their commitment to fighting inflation, while the Australian dollar jumped after China eased restrictions on coal imports from Australia. The minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December monetary policy meeting, released last night, showed that …
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5 January 2023 2:32 pm
Gold retreats as caution prevails ahead of the release of US jobs data
Gold prices retreated on Thursday from their highest level in nearly seven months as the dollar strengthened and investors shied ahead of closely watched US jobs data, which could affect the path of the Federal Reserve’s interest rate hike. Spot gold fell 0.3 percent to $1,848.59 an ounce by 0924 …
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5 January 2023 1:18 pm
Nikkei closed higher but monetary policy concerns limited gains
Japan’s Nikkei index recovered on Thursday from its lowest level in three months as shares of chip-related companies rose, tracking their US counterparts, but expectations of the world’s major central banks continuing to pursue monetary tightening limited gains. The Nikkei ended the session up by 0.4 percent, recording 25,820.80 points, …
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5 January 2023 2:41 am
Market Drivers – US Session 04/01/2023
On Wednesday, the dollar sharply edged lower across the board. However, losses were uneven, with the Australian dollar among the best performers and the Euro at the bottom of the list. The International Monetary Fund’s managing director said a third of the world’s economies could slide into a recession in …
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5 January 2023 1:18 am
US stocks swing as investors digest economic data, FOMC minutes
The S&P 500 was up a modest 0.1% in the afternoon, falling from a session high of more than 1% after minutes came in more hawkish than anticipated. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 0.2%, and the technology-heavy Nasdaq Composite was roughly flat.US stocks wobbled in back-and-forth trading Wednesday as …
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5 January 2023 12:12 am
Gold reacts to hawkish FOMC minutes by hovering around $1,850
Gold reacted downwards towards the low $1,840s on the release of the awaited FOMC minutes as US monetary policymakers seem not to expect to cut rates in 2023, Policymakers did not express the size for further rate hikes, either. Gold price clings to gains around $1850 following the release of …
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4 January 2023 11:10 pm
Could FOMC minutes signal rate hiking endgame?
All the Fed’s policymakers during December 13-14 policy meeting agreed the US central bank should slow the pace of its hawkish interest rate hikes. This was meant to allow policymakers the opportunity to continue increasing the cost of credit with the aim to control inflation but in a gradual manner …
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4 January 2023 11:04 pm
FOMC Minutes: Fed’s policymakers uncomfortable with inflation levels
The Federal Open Market Committee released the Minutes of the December 14-15 Meeting, spurring little action across the major assets. The US Dollar was little changed with the news, although US short-term interest-rate futures dropped. Key Quotes Most participants welcomed inflation easing in October and November but agreed it would …
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