A White House official announced on Thursday that a meeting on the debt limit between US President Joe Biden and key lawmakers, which was originally set for Friday, has been postponed. To discuss lifting the debt ceiling, Biden’s advisers met on Wednesday and Thursday with Republican House Speaker Kevin McCarthy, …
Read More »Oil Prices Jump as Iran Tensions Escalate and U.S. Crude Inventories Shrink
Oil prices surged on Wednesday, with U.S. crude climbing more than 2% as renewed geopolitical tensio…
Gold Drops Over 3% After CPI Data Reinforces Higher-for-Longer Rate Outlook
U.S. Inflation Figures Weigh on Gold as Markets Scale Back Expectations for Interest Rate CutsGold p…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% as Gasoline Prices Surge 40.5%: Fed Rate Hike Bets Solidify
Key Takeaways Headline CPI accelerates: Annual consumer prices rose 4.2% in May — up from 3.8% in Ap…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% in May: Iran War Energy Shock Keeps Inflation Pressure Firmly Elevated
Key Takeaways CPI at 3-year high: Annual U.S. consumer inflation rose to 4.2% in May — the highest r…
Trump Threatens Iran Power Plants and Bridges as Talks Collapse: Oil Surges 2% on “Bully of the Middle East is DEAD” Post
Key Takeaways Oil rebounds sharply: Brent rose 1.7% to $93.03 per barrel, while WTI climbed 2.0% to …
May Inflation Expected at 4.2%, Highest in Three Years as Iran War Ripples Through Consumer Prices
Key Takeaways 4.2% annual CPI expected: If confirmed, it would mark the highest inflation reading si…
Barclays: European Stocks Can Handle ECB Rate Hikes Better Than 2011 — Banks, Energy, and Miners the Top Picks
Key Takeaways ECB 25bp hike expected Thursday: Policymakers responding to Iran war energy-driven inf…
Wall Street Futures Slide as Iran Strikes Resume and Tech Rally Fizzles: CPI Data the Last Hope for Market Direction
Key Takeaways Futures fall: S&P 500 futures dropped 0.2% to 7,373.75, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.…
Bitcoin Crashes 3% as Iran Missile Barrage Crushes Peace Hopes: ETF Outflows Slow But War Fears Dominate
Key Takeaways Bitcoin falls 3%: The world’s largest crypto dropped to $61,375.5, wiping out mo…
Oil Rebounds 1.8% as U.S. Strikes Iran Over Downed Helicopter: Ceasefire Unravels and API Shows Massive 9M Barrel Draw
Key Takeaways Oil bounces back: Brent rose 1.8% to $93.08 per barrel, while WTI climbed 1.8% to $89.…
Market Analysis
May, 2023
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12 May 2023 1:37 am
EUR/USD sinks to four-week lows on stronger dollar
The EUR/USD pair drops to 1.0916 as US PPI data slows and unemployment claims rise, strengthening the US Dollar. US Treasury bond yields fall with investors pricing in three rate cuts by the Federal Reserve by December 2023.ECB speakers emphasize slowing inflation in the Eurozone, with further rate hikes left …
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12 May 2023 12:01 am
ECB’s de Guindos: Markets can be wrong about the terminal rate
ECB Vice President Luis de Guindos said he does not anticipate a euro-area recession in the coming years. According to de Guindos, the ECB’s last decision had very high consensus and markets can be wrong about the terminal rate.“I don’t believe anybody who names a terminal rate”, he added. In …
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11 May 2023 11:47 pm
Wall Street is grappling with losses related to earnings
U.S. stocks dropped Thursday after disappointing earnings of Disney as well as a plunge in shares of regional banks and the threat of a U.S. debt default. Concerns of bank failure popped up again partially because of debt ceiling potential risk as well as liquidity issues regional banks recently show. …
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11 May 2023 10:45 pm
What is shorting and how can it work amid recession fears?
Leading investment firms are shorting US stocks as the global recession-linked fears become more and more severe. The approach is focused on shorting US stocks worth billions of dollars. This wave of selling short is a wager that the market would be under pressure as recession fears intensify. The possibility …
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11 May 2023 9:43 pm
Sterling plunges after profit-taking selloff
Sterling pound dropped although the rate hike decision of BoE Thursday because of heavy selling from the part of bulls who focused on profit-taking to benefit from the highs reached immediately after the central bank decision. GBP/USD rose to 1.2610 in response to rate hike decision before declining to 1.2543. …
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11 May 2023 9:22 pm
Bailey: We are approaching the point of reversing monetary policy
BoE governor Andrew Bailey said “We are approaching the point when we should be able to let level of rates rest” in statements delivered after central bank raised interest rate by 25 basis points. “We have not yet seen evidence that allows us to be sure rates can stay on …
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11 May 2023 8:24 pm
Sterling drops after BoE’s signals of inflation easing
Pound Sterling slides versus the US dollar after the BoE meeting. This comes after Andrew Bailey’s comments on easing inflationary pressures. BoE Chairman adds that inflationary risks are still skewed to the upside and secondary effects are persistent. The Pound experiences heightened volatility against the dollar following the Bank of …
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11 May 2023 7:42 pm
Mild recession could play as a catalyst for US equities
Economists see the upcoming mild recession as a catalyst to kick-start the bull trends for US equities. According to this viewpoint, mild recession equals restart of the secular bull run.Seven of the last eight Fed hiking cycles triggered an economic recession, and US stocks historically do not bottom until a …
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11 May 2023 5:50 pm
US: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims jump to 264K
The weekly data published by the US Department of Labour (DOL) on Thursday showed that initial jobless claims totaled 264,000 in the week ending May 6. The figure comes in above market expectations of 245,000 and follows the previous week’s unrevised figure of 242,000. The reading was the highest since …
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11 May 2023 5:26 pm
US: Annual PPI rises 2.3% in April vs. 2.4% expected
The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand in the United States grew 2.3% year on year in April, down from 2.7% in March, according to data released on Thursday by the US Bureau of Labour Statistics. This number was lower than the market’s prediction of 2.4%. In the same …
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11 May 2023 4:37 pm
Bank of England raises rates and Bailey promises to “stay the course”
The Bank of England raised its key interest rate by a quarter of a percentage point to 4.5% on Thursday and Governor Andrew Bailey said the British central bank would “stay the course” as it seeks to curb the fastest inflation of any major economy. The central bank is no …
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11 May 2023 3:26 pm
BoE raises policy rate by 25 bps to 4.5% in May
Following its May policy meeting, the Bank of England (BOE) announced that it raised the policy rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.5% as expected. Two policymakers, Tenreyro and Dhingra, voted to keep the policy rate on hold at 4.25%. “If there were to be evidence of more persistent …
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