As of next January, a recession is predicted to hit the US economy as investment and production decline. According to a press release from the Conference Board, the Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell 0.8% in October and 3.3% over the previous six months, marking the 19th consecutive m-o-m decline. The …
Read More »US Index Futures Under Pressure Amid Iran War Escalation and Oil Spike
US stock index futures moved lower ahead of the trading session, reflecting rising investor caution …
Why It Matters: UAE Strengthens Energy Exports With Strategic Pipeline Bypassing Hormuz
The United Arab Emirates is moving to reshape its energy export strategy with the construction of a …
Fragile Pause in the World’s Biggest Economic Rivalry After Leaders’ Talks
The trade relationship between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies, remai…
Carry Trades Roar Back as Interest Rate Gaps Drive G10 Currency Rally
Currency carry trades are enjoying their strongest performance in years as investors return to high-…
British Pound Slides as UK Political Turmoil and Iran Tensions Boost US Dollar
The British Pound extended its sharp decline on Friday, heading toward its fourth consecutive daily …
WTI Oil Surges Above $100 as Trump-Xi Summit Intensifies Supply Concerns
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed above the key $100-per-barrel level on Friday, as markets reac…
Euro Slides Toward Monthly Lows as Hawkish Fed Bets Strengthen US Dollar
The Euro weakened further against the US Dollar on Friday, with the EUR/USD pair falling toward its …
Oil Erupts Over 2% as Trump Declares War of Words on Iran: Weekly Gains Hit 10% Despite Xi Summit Charm Offensive
Key Takeaways Sharp Friday gains: Brent crude rose 2.8% to $108.65 per barrel, while WTI surged 3.4%…
Trump-Xi Summit Wraps with “Series of New Consensus” — But Concrete Deals Remain a Mystery
Key Takeaways Second round concluded: Trump and Xi wrapped their second round of talks Friday, per C…
Wall Street Futures Tumble as Iran War Threats and Chip Export Snub Crush Record-High Mood
Key Takeaways Futures fall sharply: S&P 500 futures dropped 1.1% to 7,440.50, Nasdaq 100 futures…
Market Analysis
November, 2023
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23 November 2023 7:17 pm
China reduces oil imports from Venezuela
China’s independent refiners, known as teapots, are holding off on making new purchases due to wide discrepancies in offer prices. Since the suspension of US sanctions on Venezuelan oil in mid-October for six months, global energy firms and trading houses Vitol, Gunvor, and Trafigura have gradually resumed purchases. The independent …
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23 November 2023 4:10 pm
UK Preliminary Services PMI returns to expansion with 50.5 in November
The seasonally adjusted S&P Global/CIPS UK Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for November came in at 46.7, surpassing expectations of 45.0 and marking an improvement from October’s final print of 44.8. In addition, the Preliminary UK Services Business Activity Index showed significant progress, reaching a four-month high of 50.5 in …
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23 November 2023 3:13 pm
The Swedish central bank keeps interest rates unchanged at 4%
The Riksbank kept the interest rate unchanged at 4% on Thursday, November 23, but said it was ready to raise it further if inflation expectations deteriorated. The central bank raised interest rates from zero levels in April 2022, in a series of increases to combat high inflation caused by Covid …
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23 November 2023 10:53 am
Oil closed lower amid volatile trading with the postponement of the OPEC+ meeting
Oil prices fell by about one percent on Wednesday in a volatile session, with the OPEC+ alliance suddenly postponed a meeting to determine production policy that was scheduled to be held next Sunday, raising questions about the future path of crude production cuts. Brent crude futures fell 49 cents to …
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23 November 2023 1:32 am
Market Drivers – US Session, Nov. 22
US Data on Wednesday came in mixed, including Durable Goods Orders that fell 5.4% in October, exceeding the expected 3.1% decline. On the positive side, the University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment Index stood at 61.3 in November, revised up from the preliminary reading of 60.3. Initial Jobless Claims that retreated …
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23 November 2023 1:08 am
US stocks surge ahead of Thanksgiving
On Wednesday, stocks experienced a surge following a brief decline in yields to their lowest point in several months, and the market’s rally from November extended into the Thanksgiving holiday. The S&P 500 increased by 0.4%, the Nasdaq Composite advanced by 0.5%, and the Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 178 …
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22 November 2023 11:57 pm
Eurozone banks under pressure on accelerating loan default
The European Central Bank has warned about rising loan default cases and late payments as signs of stress in the eurozone’s banks. The bank is facing higher funding costs, declining asset quality, and fewer lending volumes, despite increased interest rates boosting revenue and profits. The ECB also warns that slower …
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22 November 2023 10:39 pm
Gold continues to face challenge below $2,000
Spot Gold is bidding lower, testing back beneath the $2,000 key handle. The Gold Index (XAU/USD) is trimming back some gains as investors weigh their options post-US data.Gold remains well-bid, but $2,000 is proving to be a challenging level. XAU/USD tipped back into a daily high above the $2,000 mark, …
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22 November 2023 9:52 pm
Nagel: ECB approaching interest rates peak
Interest rates in the Eurozone are close to their peak according to Wednesday’s statements by Bundesbank President Joachim Nagel who also explained that economic data will determine whether more tightening is needed. As for inflation, Nigel mentioned it is on track to move towards the ECB target while speaking at …
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22 November 2023 8:57 pm
Negative sentiment drags CAD to fresh weekly lows
The Canadian dollar has hit a new weekly low due to deteriorating market sentiment and falling crude oil prices. The US data has reduced risk appetite and deflated crude oil bids, leading more markets to turn back towards the US dollar. Fresh weekly lows are expected since crude oil markets …
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22 November 2023 8:01 pm
US dollar gains on rate policy speculations
The US dollar is trading in the green territory against major G20 peers, with traders expecting a quick return to normal rate policy. The latest FOMC Minutes revealed that cuts are not in the plan for the upcoming meetings, which dampens market bets that cuts might be very close, even …
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22 November 2023 7:17 pm
OPEC’s policy meeting postponement drags Oil prices lower
Recent developments, such as the Middle Eastern ceasefire and a notable increase in US stockpiles, are causing oil prices to decline. Following the release of the latest FOMC Minutes, which showed that all Fed’s policymakers decided not to change rates anytime soon, the US dollar has been strengthening as markets …
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