The Fed’s favourite inflation gauge; Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index has fallen below 3% for the first time since March 2021, indicating that US inflation is cooling. The three-month and six-month charts of the core PCE show they are below the Fed’s target of 2%. This suggests the Fed …
Read More »US Index Futures Under Pressure Amid Iran War Escalation and Oil Spike
US stock index futures moved lower ahead of the trading session, reflecting rising investor caution …
Why It Matters: UAE Strengthens Energy Exports With Strategic Pipeline Bypassing Hormuz
The United Arab Emirates is moving to reshape its energy export strategy with the construction of a …
Fragile Pause in the World’s Biggest Economic Rivalry After Leaders’ Talks
The trade relationship between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies, remai…
Carry Trades Roar Back as Interest Rate Gaps Drive G10 Currency Rally
Currency carry trades are enjoying their strongest performance in years as investors return to high-…
British Pound Slides as UK Political Turmoil and Iran Tensions Boost US Dollar
The British Pound extended its sharp decline on Friday, heading toward its fourth consecutive daily …
WTI Oil Surges Above $100 as Trump-Xi Summit Intensifies Supply Concerns
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed above the key $100-per-barrel level on Friday, as markets reac…
Euro Slides Toward Monthly Lows as Hawkish Fed Bets Strengthen US Dollar
The Euro weakened further against the US Dollar on Friday, with the EUR/USD pair falling toward its …
Oil Erupts Over 2% as Trump Declares War of Words on Iran: Weekly Gains Hit 10% Despite Xi Summit Charm Offensive
Key Takeaways Sharp Friday gains: Brent crude rose 2.8% to $108.65 per barrel, while WTI surged 3.4%…
Trump-Xi Summit Wraps with “Series of New Consensus” — But Concrete Deals Remain a Mystery
Key Takeaways Second round concluded: Trump and Xi wrapped their second round of talks Friday, per C…
Wall Street Futures Tumble as Iran War Threats and Chip Export Snub Crush Record-High Mood
Key Takeaways Futures fall sharply: S&P 500 futures dropped 1.1% to 7,440.50, Nasdaq 100 futures…
Market Analysis
January, 2024
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26 January 2024 7:51 pm
EUR/USD rises on fueled speculation about a Fed rate cut following PCE data
In North American trading, the EUR/USD pair rises as a result of weaker US core PCE inflation statistics. As the Fed’s core PCE index drops to 2.9%, expectations of an interest rate reduction rise, supporting the rise in EUR/USD.Early in the North American session, the EUR/USD increased by about 0.14% …
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26 January 2024 5:27 pm
Gold is heading for its second consecutive weekly decline
Gold prices rose during trading today, Friday, the twenty-sixth of January, but they are heading towards recording the second weekly losses in a row, amid the rise of the dollar supported by positive economic data. The US economy grew more than expected during the last quarter of 2023, by about …
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26 January 2024 2:56 pm
European stocks open higher supported by quarterly results
European markets opened higher on Friday, bolstered by positive quarterly results from luxury goods group LVMH and French liquor company Remy Cointreau. Traders were also evaluating the prospects of interest rate adjustments, a day after the European Central Bank (ECB) maintained its existing interest rates. As of 0819 GMT, the …
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26 January 2024 12:56 pm
Oil prices are heading for weekly gains supported by US growth data
Oil prices retreated on Friday, but they were poised to register their most significant weekly gains since October, buoyed by positive economic data from the United States and signals of Chinese stimulus that supported oil demand. Brent crude futures declined by 0.57%, or 47 cents, settling at $81.96 per barrel …
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26 January 2024 11:54 am
Japan’s Nikkei declines, erasing week’s gains amid chip sector losses
On Friday, Japan’s Nikkei index closed lower, reversing the gains it had accumulated earlier in the week. The index lost 1.34%, closing at 35,751.07 points, marking a 0.59% decline for the week and breaking a two-week streak of gains. At the start of the day, the index had shown a …
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26 January 2024 2:39 am
Market Drivers – US Session, Jan. 25
While Gold prices remained stuck in their current consolidative range, Silver prices rebounded further and clinched their third straight day of gains, this time flirting with the $23.00 mark per ounce.Firmer-than-expected US GDP figures have provided support to the US Dollar and further reinforced the already resilient stance of the …
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26 January 2024 1:26 am
WTI hovers around $77.00 with positive momentum as focus shifts to US PCE
WTI price is expected to close the week in a positive territory due to multiple factors. US GDP data contributed support to reinforcing oil prices. PBoC’s strategy to inject liquidity into the economy contributes to the strength in oil prices.Chinese officials asked their Iranian counterparts to help restrain attacks on …
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26 January 2024 12:27 am
Treasury yields decline following data supporting Fed’s soft landing
US Treasury bond yields have been declining since the beginning of trading on Wall Street, after US economic data favouring the “flexible landing” scenario and that the Federal Reserve could be closer to achieving it.Ten-year US Treasury bond yields fell to 4.131%, compared to the last daily close, which recorded …
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25 January 2024 11:20 pm
Canadian dollar benefits from surging oil prices
The Canadian dollar was able to regain the upward trend after the improvement in risk in global financial markets following positive US economic data that suggested the “soft landing” scenario and that the Federal Reserve’s approach to achieving it is still possible.Oil futures concluded Thursday’s trading in an upward direction …
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25 January 2024 10:14 pm
EUR/GBP experiences losses post ECB rate decision
The EUR/GBP pair is standing at 08536 at the time of writing, down -0.20%, earlier on the day it was at almost 0.8530, down by 0.30%. The ECB held rates steady as expected. Christine Lagarde refrained from commenting on the timing of the ECB rate cuts. Monetary policy divergences are …
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25 January 2024 8:58 pm
Gold attempts to recover after higher-than-expected US GDP data
After the most recent data revealed that the US economy grew faster than anticipated and that inflation came in lower than expected, gold prices are trading at session highs during the North American session. The yellow metal is trading at $2014.39 per ounce at the time of writing.The US economy …
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25 January 2024 8:34 pm
PCE Data Preview: Forecasts by major banks, US inflation seen toward target
Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, the Core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE), will be released by the US Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) on Friday, January 26 at 13:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts of economists and researchers of eight major banks. Headline …
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