Data released by S&P Global on Thursday revealed that the Caixin Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) for China’s manufacturing sector aligned with market expectations, standing at approximately 50.8 points in January. This reading, consistent with forecasts, indicated sustained growth, maintaining a trend outside the contraction zone for three consecutive months – …
Read More »US Index Futures Under Pressure Amid Iran War Escalation and Oil Spike
US stock index futures moved lower ahead of the trading session, reflecting rising investor caution …
Why It Matters: UAE Strengthens Energy Exports With Strategic Pipeline Bypassing Hormuz
The United Arab Emirates is moving to reshape its energy export strategy with the construction of a …
Fragile Pause in the World’s Biggest Economic Rivalry After Leaders’ Talks
The trade relationship between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies, remai…
Carry Trades Roar Back as Interest Rate Gaps Drive G10 Currency Rally
Currency carry trades are enjoying their strongest performance in years as investors return to high-…
British Pound Slides as UK Political Turmoil and Iran Tensions Boost US Dollar
The British Pound extended its sharp decline on Friday, heading toward its fourth consecutive daily …
WTI Oil Surges Above $100 as Trump-Xi Summit Intensifies Supply Concerns
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed above the key $100-per-barrel level on Friday, as markets reac…
Euro Slides Toward Monthly Lows as Hawkish Fed Bets Strengthen US Dollar
The Euro weakened further against the US Dollar on Friday, with the EUR/USD pair falling toward its …
Oil Erupts Over 2% as Trump Declares War of Words on Iran: Weekly Gains Hit 10% Despite Xi Summit Charm Offensive
Key Takeaways Sharp Friday gains: Brent crude rose 2.8% to $108.65 per barrel, while WTI surged 3.4%…
Trump-Xi Summit Wraps with “Series of New Consensus” — But Concrete Deals Remain a Mystery
Key Takeaways Second round concluded: Trump and Xi wrapped their second round of talks Friday, per C…
Wall Street Futures Tumble as Iran War Threats and Chip Export Snub Crush Record-High Mood
Key Takeaways Futures fall sharply: S&P 500 futures dropped 1.1% to 7,440.50, Nasdaq 100 futures…
Market Analysis
February, 2024
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1 February 2024 11:50 am
China’s Manufacturing Sector Maintains Growth, Caixin PMI at 50.8 in January
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1 February 2024 10:54 am
Gold shines on hopes of a cut in US interest rates this year
On Thursday, gold continued its upward trajectory for the fourth consecutive day as investors maintained optimism regarding potential interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve. Despite the central bank ruling out rate cuts in March, market participants still anticipate significant reductions later in the year. In spot transactions, gold recorded …
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1 February 2024 2:07 am
Market Drivers – US Session, January 31
US treasuries rallied on Wednesday, owing to slower-than-expected hiring and a surprising loss from New York Community Bancorp, heightening concerns about the sustainability of US regional lenders. New York Community Bancorp wrote down poor bad estate loans, dropping its shares 36% and pushing down regional bank share values across the …
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1 February 2024 1:53 am
Wall Street closes lower following FOMC decision
US stocks experienced a decline on the last trading day in January, as the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and drew hopes for an interest rate cut as soon as March. The three major US stock indexes were already weighed down by weakness in tech and tech-adjacent megacap stocks …
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1 February 2024 1:32 am
Gold slides below $2040 following Powell’s comments
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled potential rate cuts based on economic progress, stating that there is no rush to change existing monetary policy. The Gold Index has reacted to Powell’s rejection of bets on a March rate cut and emphasis on a cautious approach to managing inflation. Gold prices …
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1 February 2024 12:08 am
Powell: Rate cuts looming, but Fed persistent in avoiding inflation risks
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell quickly summed up where the central bank stands. “We believe our policy rate is likely at its peak for this tightening cycle and that, if the economy evolves broadly as expected, it will likely be appropriate to begin dialing back policy restraint at some point this …
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January, 2024
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31 January 2024 11:31 pm
Powell explains decision to hold interest rate steady, speaks on outlook
Fed Chair Jerome Powell explains the decision to leave the policy rate, federal funds rate, unchanged at the range of 5.25-5.5% and responds to questions in the post-meeting press conference. Investors, meanwhile have found clues that monetary policy tightening is over. On the daily chart, after FOMC decision, the US …
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31 January 2024 11:03 pm
FOMC keeps US rate policy unchanged for fourth time in a row
At the end of its first meeting in 2024, the Federal Open Market Committee chose to keep interest rates unchanged, as was broadly expected.Investors and market watchers are now focusing on Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s speech and signals about the future path of US monetary policy. Powell will speak at …
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31 January 2024 10:42 pm
Why have Treasury yields declined ahead of FOMC decision?
US treasuries experienced a rally on Wednesday due to slower-than-expected hiring and a surprise loss from New York Community Bancorp, raising concerns about the health of regional lenders. Two- to five-year Treasury yields tumbled more than 10 basis points as traders priced in a higher likelihood of Federal Reserve interest-rate …
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31 January 2024 9:57 pm
Explainer: What rate cuts matter for US economy in 2024
Interest rate cuts could bring relief to consumers and businesses who have been paying more for mortgages, auto loans, credit card debt, and other forms of borrowing as a result of the Fed’s increases. However, rate-weary Americans will likely have to wait a few more months for respite, as Wall …
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31 January 2024 8:45 pm
Alphabet stock dives following lower than expected Google ad revenues
Google parent Alphabet’s stock declines more than 5% after the company reported its Q4 earnings, which missed estimates on ad revenue. The company’s revenue, excluding traffic acquisition costs, was $72 billion, higher than the $63.12 billion generated during the same period in the prior year. However, investors focused on the …
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31 January 2024 8:01 pm
US dollar declines following surprise negative ADP data
Ahead of the Fed meeting, the US dollar experienced a fall following a false positive surge higher. Traders were taken aback by the negative ADP figure. The US Dollar Index is still trapped in its trend, circling the 200-day SMA. At 103.102, the DXY chart shows a loss of -0.031%.The …
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31 January 2024 7:40 pm
Gold surges on weak US jobs data, ahead of FOMC decision
Gold is trading at $2052.99 per ounce at the time of writing. The price of the precious metal surges by 0.77% ahead of the Federal Reserve’s monetary policy announcement, with the focus mainly on the bank’s future interest rate guidance. Expectations for early rate cuts by the Fed increased as …
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