The US NY Empire State Manufacturing Index fell more than expected in August. It came at 3.7, declined from 17.2 in July and fell short of 15.0 expected. New orders -1.7 vs +13.9 last month, little changed. Employment jumped higher to +2.4 vs +0.4 last month. Shipments +6.7 vs +18.5 …
Read More »Japan Has Every Reason for a Stronger Yen, So Why Won’t It Rise?
The Japanese yen is puzzling investors once again. On paper, the currency appears to have nearly eve…
JPMorgan’s Tesla U-Turn: From Longtime Skeptic to AI Believer
In one of the most striking reversals in recent years, JPMorgan has significantly changed its stance…
Iran Attacks Israel: Brent Crude Hits $94 as Energy Markets Brace for Shock
The uneasy calm that had settled over the Middle East has been broken. Following Israeli strikes nea…
The Great Money Migration: Why Investors Are Hiding in Cash While Watching Markets Closely
A Global Search for Safety: A quiet but powerful shift is unfolding across global financial markets.…
G7’s Highest Interest Rate Can’t Save the Pound: Why Investors Are Losing Confidence in Britain
For years, higher interest rates have been viewed as one of the strongest pillars supporting a curre…
Apple Unveils Smarter Siri at Annual Developer Conference: Major Upgrade to Apple’s Voice Assistant as AI Race Heats Up
Apple has unveiled a major upgrade to its voice assistant Siri during its annual global developer co…
Gold Edges Lower as Markets React to Global Tensions and Inflation Fears
Gold prices started the new week with a small decline, slipping slightly after recently trading at h…
Bitcoin at a Crossroads as Markets Weigh Fragile Recovery, Further Declines
Bitcoin is once again fighting to hold its ground above the critical $60,000 threshold after one of …
CPI Showdown: Can the Dow Jones Hold Gains as Inflation Risks Mount?
US stock markets began the week on uneven footing, with technology shares rebounding strongly from l…
Dollar Climbs to 2-Month High as Hot Jobs Data and Gulf Escalation Fuel Rate Hike Bets: Yen Hits Intervention Danger Zone
Key Takeaways Dollar at 2-month peak: The DXY edged up 0.1% to 100.17 — its highest since April 6 — …
Market Analysis
August, 2020
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17 August 2020 5:23 pm
China: Will Not Resort to Flood-Like Stimulus
The Chinese state media reported on Monday, citing a statement from China’s cabinet saying that China will not resort to flood-like stimulus, adding that they will keep liquidity reasonably ample. This comes after the PBOC injected liquidity into the system, offering 700bn yuan in a medium term lending facility earlier …
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17 August 2020 4:37 pm
US Ross: China Has Been Buying Large Amounts of Agricultural Products
US Commerce Secretary Wilbur Ross told Fox Business Network on Monday that China has been buying large amounts of US agricultural products. Other comments: “China-US trade talks continue at various levels.” “The US is eager for China to continue buying American farm products.” “Trump is looking to close loopholes to …
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17 August 2020 3:56 pm
OPEC+ JMMC Meeting to Review Easing Output Curbs
OPEC+ is meeting on 19 August to assess its supply deal as the world struggles to control the coronavirus spread that has a damaging effect on economies and fuel demand globally. The Joint Ministerial Monitoring Committee (JMMC) will gather on Wednesday to assess the compliance issue of the organization and …
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17 August 2020 3:53 pm
Japan’s Economy is Contracting at a Record Pace
Japan recorded its largest economic contraction in Q2 as the coronavirus pandemic crushed business and consumer spending, putting policymakers under pressure to take bolder action to prevent a deepening recession. Although the economy began to emerge from recession after easing the lockdown in late May, many analysts expect any rebound …
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17 August 2020 2:50 pm
German Central Bank: German Economy on Track For Rapid Growth During Summer
Germany’s central bank said on Monday that the German economy is poised for a rapid and broad recovery after an unprecedented contraction in peacetime in the spring, but a coronavirus vaccine may be necessary before a full recovery is possible, according to Reuters. “The clear and widespread recovery in macroeconomic …
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17 August 2020 1:59 pm
PBOC Sets Yuan Reference Rate at 6.9362
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) has set the yuan reference rate at 6.9362 versus Friday’s fix at 6.9405
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17 August 2020 1:31 pm
PBOC Injects CNY700 B Through One-Year MLF at 2.95%
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) injected CNY700 billion via one-year medium-term lending (MLF) facility on Monday. The Chinese central bank issued the one-year MLF at 2.95%, unchanged from the previous operation. The PBOC kept the rates unchanged for the fourth straight month. USD/CNY is under pressure, looking to extend …
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17 August 2020 12:36 pm
Russian Ministry of Health: First Batch of Coronavirus Vaccine Was Produced
Russia said, Saturday, August 15, that it had produced the first batch of the Coronavirus vaccine after Russian President Vladimir Putin announced that his country was the first in the world to approve a vaccine. Putin’s announcement on the vaccine on Tuesday was met with warnings from scientists and the …
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17 August 2020 11:50 am
The European Union Approves First Corona Vaccine Deal with AstraZeneca
The European Union has agreed to purchase 300 million doses of the Coronavirus vaccine for the pharmaceutical company “AstraZeneca” as soon as it becomes available, according to the Commission. The European Commission, which is negotiating on behalf of all 27 EU member states, said the deal includes an option to …
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17 August 2020 11:10 am
China is Stepping up US Oil Purchases Before Reviewing Trade Agreement
American and Chinese importers and dealers told Reuters that crude oil shipments from the United States to China will rise dramatically in the coming weeks, as the two largest economies in the world prepare to review an agreement signed in January after a long trade war. They said that Chinese …
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17 August 2020 10:35 am
FX Option Expiries For Aug 17 NY Cut
FX option expiries for Aug 17 NY cut at 10:00 Eastern Time, via DTCC, can be found below. – EUR/USD: EUR amounts 1.1900 937m – GBP/USD: GBP amounts 1.3090 623m – USD/JPY: USD amounts 105.50 534m105.65 624m 106.02 438m – NZD/USD: NZD amounts 0.6575 301m
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17 August 2020 9:02 am
Weekly Recap 10-14 AUG
Optimism regarding the development of a vaccine of Covid-19 continued to dominate the markets. Also, Democratic and Republican parties failed to reach an agreement on the second stimulus and financing package of Coronavirus. The US currency suffered heavy losses during last week’s, to record a decline for the eighth consecutive …
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