Despite the uncertainty about the new coronavirus variant, the US economy ended 2021 on a high with rising consumer spending and falling unemployment. According to the US Economic scene published by the Conference Board in December, the Omicron variant does not seem to have dampened spirits for the coming year …
Read More »Oil Prices Rise as Weak US Jobs Data and Middle East Tensions Boost Market Sentiment
Crude Oil Rebounds as Dollar WeakensOil prices moved higher on Friday, recovering part of their rece…
Euro Struggles to Build Momentum as Markets Reassess Fed and ECB Rate Outlook
The euro posted modest gains against the US dollar on Friday but struggled to extend its advance as …
Gold Jumps Above $4,100 After Weak US Jobs Report Fuels Fed Rate Cut Hopes
The disappointing US payrolls data sends the dollar lower and boosts safe-haven demand. Gold rallied…
Wall Street Wobbles as Weak JOBS Data Sends Dollar Sliding and Gold, Bitcoin Soaring
A surprisingly weak US jobs report released Thursday, a day earlier than usual due to the Independen…
NFP Preview: US Labor Market Faces Crucial Test as Fed Weighs Next Move
Markets are turning their attention to Thursday’s US nonfarm payrolls (NFP) report, a release …
US Dollar Holds Firm Ahead of Jobs Report
The US Dollar remained resilient on Wednesday as investors weighed mixed economic indicators, fresh …
US Refuses Long-Term Renewal of North American Trade Pact, Raising Economic Uncertainty
The United States has declined to approve a long-term renewal of the United States-Mexico-Canada Agr…
WTI Crude Oil Falls as Hormuz Shipping Recovers and OPEC+ Output Hike Looms
West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude oil extended its decline on Wednesday, retreating to levels last…
Fed Chair Kevin Warsh Reaffirms Inflation Fight as Top Priority Despite Improving Economic Outlook
Inflation Remains the Federal Reserve’s Main MissionFederal Reserve Chair Kevin Warsh reiterat…
Market Analysis
January, 2022
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6 January 2022 10:17 pm
Consumer Demand for Goods Drove US Import Surge During Holidays
US trade deficit in goods hit a fresh record in November due to strong demand and an easing of supply-chain issues.California’s Port of Los Angeles is struggling to keep up with the influx of cargo containers arriving at its terminals, creating one of the biggest obstruction points in the global …
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6 January 2022 9:51 pm
Fed’s Daly: We will need to raise interest rates to keep economy in balance
Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco President and FOMC member Mary Daly said on Thursday that policymakers will need to raise interest rates to keep the economy in balance. “Even if we do a couple of interest rate increases, monetary policy will still be accommodative”, she added. Additional Remarks:“Inflation is …
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6 January 2022 8:31 pm
WTI Briefly Eclipses $80.00 level to Multi-Week Highs
The WTI crude oil briefly eclipsed the $80 per barrel level for the first time since mid-November as OPEC+ struggles to lift output.Crude oil prices have rallied despite recent downside in global equities after hawkish Fed minutes, and are keeping an eye on Kazakhstan unrest.Front-month WTI futures have surged on …
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6 January 2022 8:00 pm
US: ISM Services PMI falls to 62.0 in December Below Expectations
The Institute of Supply Management’s headline Services PMI index fell to 62.0 in December versus forecasts for a fall to 66.9 from 69.1 in November. Business Activity fell to 67.6 from 74.6. Prices Paid rose to 82.5 from 82.3. New Orders fell to 61.5 from 69.7, the lowest such reading …
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6 January 2022 7:17 pm
US Factory Orders Rise Slightly Above Expectations
According to US Census Bureau data, US Factory Order rose by 1.6% MoM in November. That was slightly above the expected 1.5% gain and marked an acceleration on the 1.2% MoM gain seen back in October (which was revised up from 1.0%). Excluding transportation, orders were up 0.8% on the …
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6 January 2022 6:22 pm
Market Drivers – European Session 6-1-2022
Investors are still feeling their feet as the year begins and await key US data due this week. Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida announced on Thursday that they will decide on a quasi-emergency declaration for parts of Japan on Friday, as reported by Reuters. A Reuters survey showed on Thursday …
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6 January 2022 5:42 pm
US: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims Rise to 207K
There were 207,000 initial claims for unemployment benefits in the US during the week ending January 1, data published by the US Department of Labor (DoL) revealed on Thursday. This reading followed last week’s print of 200,000 (which was revised up from 198,000) and came in slightly above consensus market …
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6 January 2022 3:36 pm
BOE: Output Price Inflation Seen at 4.5% to December 2022
Businesses in the UK see year-ahead output price inflation at 4.5% in the three months to December, up from 4.2% in November, the Bank of England’s (BOE) Decision Maker Panel (DMP) survey revealed on Thursday. “Annual output price inflation continued to increase in the DMP, reaching 5% on average in …
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6 January 2022 2:46 pm
The Dollar Resumes Its Rise
The US dollar rebounded to its most recent 14-month high, as the Federal Reserve’s latest meeting minutes reinforced expectations of a US interest rate hike in March. The minutes of the US central bank’s meeting in December revealed that officials discussed reducing the bank’s total holdings and raising interest rates …
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6 January 2022 1:34 pm
European Shares Drop 1% After Signs of US Monetary Tightening
European shares fell more than 1% on Thursday, after indications from the minutes of the Federal Reserve meeting (the US central bank) of the tendency to tighten monetary policy, which dampened the morale of investors around the world and led to turmoil in technology shares. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index …
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6 January 2022 12:31 pm
German Factory Orders Rebound Sharply by 3.7% MoM
The German Factory Orders rebounded more than expected in November, suggesting that Europe’s economic powerhouse’s recovery in the manufacturing sector seems to have regained traction. Contracts for goods’ Made in Germany’ jumped 3.7% on the month vs. 2.1% expected and -5.8% last, the latest data published by the Federal Statistics …
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6 January 2022 12:29 pm
Gold Falls After Bond Yields Rise
Gold prices fell Thursday, January 6, as US Treasury yields rose, after the minutes of the Federal Reserve’s December meeting indicated the fastest rate hike in interest rates to curb inflation. Yields on benchmark 10-year US Treasury bonds rose to the highest level since April 2021, raising the opportunity cost …
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