Since the outburst of the war in East Europe, markets have massively increased their expectations for key US interest rates. This can be seen, among other things, in the rise in the yield on the 2-year US Treasury bond by around 0.9%% in just a few weeks.The basis for this …
Read More »Oil Prices Jump as Iran Tensions Escalate and U.S. Crude Inventories Shrink
Oil prices surged on Wednesday, with U.S. crude climbing more than 2% as renewed geopolitical tensio…
Gold Drops Over 3% After CPI Data Reinforces Higher-for-Longer Rate Outlook
U.S. Inflation Figures Weigh on Gold as Markets Scale Back Expectations for Interest Rate CutsGold p…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% as Gasoline Prices Surge 40.5%: Fed Rate Hike Bets Solidify
Key Takeaways Headline CPI accelerates: Annual consumer prices rose 4.2% in May — up from 3.8% in Ap…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% in May: Iran War Energy Shock Keeps Inflation Pressure Firmly Elevated
Key Takeaways CPI at 3-year high: Annual U.S. consumer inflation rose to 4.2% in May — the highest r…
Trump Threatens Iran Power Plants and Bridges as Talks Collapse: Oil Surges 2% on “Bully of the Middle East is DEAD” Post
Key Takeaways Oil rebounds sharply: Brent rose 1.7% to $93.03 per barrel, while WTI climbed 2.0% to …
May Inflation Expected at 4.2%, Highest in Three Years as Iran War Ripples Through Consumer Prices
Key Takeaways 4.2% annual CPI expected: If confirmed, it would mark the highest inflation reading si…
Barclays: European Stocks Can Handle ECB Rate Hikes Better Than 2011 — Banks, Energy, and Miners the Top Picks
Key Takeaways ECB 25bp hike expected Thursday: Policymakers responding to Iran war energy-driven inf…
Wall Street Futures Slide as Iran Strikes Resume and Tech Rally Fizzles: CPI Data the Last Hope for Market Direction
Key Takeaways Futures fall: S&P 500 futures dropped 0.2% to 7,373.75, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.…
Bitcoin Crashes 3% as Iran Missile Barrage Crushes Peace Hopes: ETF Outflows Slow But War Fears Dominate
Key Takeaways Bitcoin falls 3%: The world’s largest crypto dropped to $61,375.5, wiping out mo…
Oil Rebounds 1.8% as U.S. Strikes Iran Over Downed Helicopter: Ceasefire Unravels and API Shows Massive 9M Barrel Draw
Key Takeaways Oil bounces back: Brent rose 1.8% to $93.08 per barrel, while WTI climbed 1.8% to $89.…
Market Analysis
April, 2022
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15 April 2022 6:11 pm
PBOC: RRR cut by 25 bps effective as of April 25
The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) announced on Friday that it will cut the reserve requirement ratio (RRR) for all banks by 25 basis points (bps) effective from April 25.The PBOC further noted that it will cut RRR by an additional 25 bps for some smaller banks and noted that …
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15 April 2022 5:25 pm
Japan plans to release six million barrels of oil from private reserves
Japan’s Industry Ministry said on Friday it will release six million barrels of oil from privately owned reserves, as part of its contribution to the second round of coordinated withdrawals from reserves led by the International Energy Agency to cool crude prices. Japan will release the amount of oil, which …
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15 April 2022 3:23 pm
Kremlin aide: Russia’s imports fell sharply in March as Western companies pulled out
Kremlin aide Maxim Oreshkin was quoted by the RIA news agency as saying on Friday that Russian imports fell sharply in March due to logistical restrictions and the withdrawal of Western companies from the country. He expected the decline to reach “tens of percent”. The Russian current account surplus is …
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15 April 2022 2:26 pm
Italy: Inflation at its highest level in 30 years
Italy’s annual inflation rate accelerated to 6.5 percent in March 2022, the highest level since July 1991, from 5.7 percent in the previous month and below the initial estimate of 6.7 percent. On a monthly basis, consumer prices rose 1 percent, accelerating from a 0.9 percent increase the previous month …
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15 April 2022 12:52 pm
US natural gas stocks rise by 15 billion cubic meters
US natural gas inventories recorded reading in line with market expectations this week, as natural gas inventories rose by 15 billion cubic meters during the week ending last Friday. This reading is in line with market expectations. This reading is worse than the previous reading, which showed a decrease in …
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15 April 2022 12:07 pm
Nikkei declines, dragged down by Wall Street and technology
The Japanese Nikkei index declined Friday, April 15th, after being affected by the decline in the blue-chip technology shares that tracked the weak performance on Wall Street, but losses were limited after investors repurchased shares before a long holiday. The Nikkei index fell 0.29% to close at 27,093.19 points, but …
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15 April 2022 11:31 am
PBOC kept interest rates unchanged at 2.85%.
The People’s Bank of China kept its key interest rate unchanged in a surprise move, despite expectations of more stimulus, as Beijing is currently suffering from a spike in coronavirus cases. The People’s Bank of China said it kept the one-year medium-term loan rate unchanged at 2.85%. China is currently …
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15 April 2022 1:26 am
Market Drivers – US Session – 14 April
The US dollar holds firmly up, giving up some of its recent gains ahead of the close as speculative interest booked some profits ahead of the Good Friday holiday.Economic Data The US Commerce Department on Thursday said that retail sales rose a seasonally adjusted 0.5% in March from a month …
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14 April 2022 11:53 pm
Mester: Fed To Push Policy Quickly Enough To Contain Hot Inflation
Cleveland Fed President and FOMC member Loretta Mester said on Thursday that the Fed aims to reduce policy accommodation at the pace necessary to control inflation whilst also sustaining economic activity.Mester added that the Fed aims to bring demand into better balance with supply, whilst also sustaining the health of …
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14 April 2022 11:28 pm
US Shares drop back As T-Yields Rise Ahead of Long Weekend
Major US equity indices showed mixed performance on Thursday, with tech stocks underperforming as US yields soured. Investors received another update on the recovery in the jobs market. The number of people seeking unemployment benefits ticked up last week, according to the Labour Department, but remained at a historically low …
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14 April 2022 10:36 pm
GBP/USD Correcting ECB Selloff As BoE Policy In Focus Again
At 1.3069, the GBP/USD pair is attempting to correct the London sell-off that followed the European Central Bank announcements that sank the Euro and enabled the embattled US dollar to bounce back. The pound was caught up in the flows and extended a fall from a high of 1.3146 to …
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14 April 2022 10:03 pm
March retail sales reports reveals resilience of consumer spending
The US Commerce Department on Thursday said that retail sales rose a seasonally adjusted 0.5% in March from a month earlier. That was a tad less than the 0.6% gain that economists polled by The Wall Street Journal were looking for, but there were also revisions to the previous two …
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