Total assets on the Fed’s weekly balance sheet as of April 20, released this afternoon, declined to $8.955 trillion, roughly the same as on March 16 and below the levels of March 23 and April 13. Beyond the week-to-week ups and downs, caused by the peculiarities of Mortgage Backed Securities …
Read More »Oil Prices Jump as Iran Tensions Escalate and U.S. Crude Inventories Shrink
Oil prices surged on Wednesday, with U.S. crude climbing more than 2% as renewed geopolitical tensio…
Gold Drops Over 3% After CPI Data Reinforces Higher-for-Longer Rate Outlook
U.S. Inflation Figures Weigh on Gold as Markets Scale Back Expectations for Interest Rate CutsGold p…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% as Gasoline Prices Surge 40.5%: Fed Rate Hike Bets Solidify
Key Takeaways Headline CPI accelerates: Annual consumer prices rose 4.2% in May — up from 3.8% in Ap…
U.S. CPI Hits 3-Year High of 4.2% in May: Iran War Energy Shock Keeps Inflation Pressure Firmly Elevated
Key Takeaways CPI at 3-year high: Annual U.S. consumer inflation rose to 4.2% in May — the highest r…
Trump Threatens Iran Power Plants and Bridges as Talks Collapse: Oil Surges 2% on “Bully of the Middle East is DEAD” Post
Key Takeaways Oil rebounds sharply: Brent rose 1.7% to $93.03 per barrel, while WTI climbed 2.0% to …
May Inflation Expected at 4.2%, Highest in Three Years as Iran War Ripples Through Consumer Prices
Key Takeaways 4.2% annual CPI expected: If confirmed, it would mark the highest inflation reading si…
Barclays: European Stocks Can Handle ECB Rate Hikes Better Than 2011 — Banks, Energy, and Miners the Top Picks
Key Takeaways ECB 25bp hike expected Thursday: Policymakers responding to Iran war energy-driven inf…
Wall Street Futures Slide as Iran Strikes Resume and Tech Rally Fizzles: CPI Data the Last Hope for Market Direction
Key Takeaways Futures fall: S&P 500 futures dropped 0.2% to 7,373.75, Nasdaq 100 futures fell 0.…
Bitcoin Crashes 3% as Iran Missile Barrage Crushes Peace Hopes: ETF Outflows Slow But War Fears Dominate
Key Takeaways Bitcoin falls 3%: The world’s largest crypto dropped to $61,375.5, wiping out mo…
Oil Rebounds 1.8% as U.S. Strikes Iran Over Downed Helicopter: Ceasefire Unravels and API Shows Massive 9M Barrel Draw
Key Takeaways Oil bounces back: Brent rose 1.8% to $93.08 per barrel, while WTI climbed 1.8% to $89.…
Market Analysis
April, 2022
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23 April 2022 1:31 am
US Rig Count Higher As Oil Rally Halts
The number of total active drilling rigs in the United States rose by 2 this week, after an increase of 4 rigs in the week prior, according to new data from Baker Hughes published on Friday.The total rig count increased to 695 this week—257 rigs higher than the rig count …
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23 April 2022 12:35 am
USD/CAD Toward biggest One-Day Gain Since Nov.
The USD/CAD pair rallied roughly 140 pips on Friday to hit its highest level in over one month above the 1.2700 mark. That marks the largest one-day percentage gain since November. The pair rallied as a function of risk-off flows, with recent BoC hawkishness and strong data failing to support …
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23 April 2022 12:28 am
Oil slips, posts nearly 5% weekly loss on growth concerns
Oil slipped on Friday, posting a weekly loss of nearly 5%, on the prospect of weaker global growth, higher interest rates and COVID-19 lockdowns in China hurting demand even as the European Union considers a ban on Russian oil that would tighten supply.Brent crude settled down $1.68, or 1.6%, at …
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23 April 2022 12:19 am
Fed’s Assets Retreat To Level Of 5 Weeks Ago
Total assets on the Fed’s weekly balance sheet as of April 20, released this afternoon, declined to $8.955 trillion, roughly the same as on March 16 and below the levels of March 23 and April 13. Beyond the week-to-week ups and downs, caused by the peculiarities of Mortgage Backed Securities …
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23 April 2022 12:10 am
Mester: Fed moves to tighter financial conditions
Cleveland Fed President and FOMC member Lorreta Mester, speaking in an interview on CNBC, said on Friday that the Fed wants to see tighter financial conditions, though not all at once. “We are in a recalibration phase for monetary policy,” she said, adding that the Fed’s goal is to bring …
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22 April 2022 11:53 pm
What Wall Street Expects From French Elections
French voters head to the polls on Sunday to cast their ballots in the final round of a close presidential race between incumbent President Emmanuel Macron and rival Marine Le Pen.Centrist Macron was seen taking the lead against his far-right opponent in the final day of campaigning, taking a 57.5% …
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22 April 2022 10:55 pm
Why does Yellen Ponder lower US tariffs on Chinese goods?
US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Friday that it is worth considering steps to lower US tariffs on Chinese goods in order to ease inflation, and that there would be some “desirable effects” of lowering tariffs. Speaking in a CNBC interview earlier in the day, Yellen stated on Friday …
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22 April 2022 10:28 pm
Canada Sees Positive signs for consumer spending in February, March
Data released in Canada on Friday showed a better-than-expected reading on February retail sales. Analysts point out that retail sales volumes held their own in February and March, despite the headwinds to goods spending of mounting inflationary pressure and reopening service industries. The 0.1% gain in February was a little …
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22 April 2022 6:43 pm
Slowdown warnings flash for UK economy as inflation surges
The UK economy is heading for a slowdown, or possibly even a recession, as consumers and businesses are hit by the leap in inflation, higher taxes, rising interest rates and uncertainty caused by the war in Ukraine.Bank of England Governor Andrew Bailey said on Thursday the BoE was walking a …
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22 April 2022 6:33 pm
WTI trades around $100 as traders trapped by slowdowns, supply concerns
WTI trades a few dollars lower on Friday but is within recent intra-day ranges in the low $100s. Amid a lack of fresh developments, oil traders are mulling various oil market-relevant themes.Crude oil prices continue to trade in uneventful fashion, with front-month WTI futures stuck within their intra-day ranges of …
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22 April 2022 6:17 pm
US Flash Markit Manufacturing PMI rises to 59.7 in April versus 58.2 expected
Manufacturing PMI was a little stronger than expected, but Services PMI was much weaker than expected. The Dollar Index (DXY) did not react to the latest PMI data release. IHS Markit’s headline Manufacturing PMI rose to 59.7 in April from 58.8 in March, above expectations for a slight decline to …
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22 April 2022 4:51 pm
Canada: Retail Sales rise by 0.1% in March
Headline Retail Sales in Canada rose by 0.1% MoM in March, according to the latest figures released by Statistic Canada on Friday, above expectations for a 0.4% MoM decline. March’s 0.1% growth rate marked a substantial slowdown from February’s strong 3.3% MoM growth rate, which was revised a tad higher …
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