The British sterling retreated on Thursday after the Bank of England hiked 25-bps interest rates in a 6-3 split decision. However, the UK central bank’s projections of a probable UK recession in 2023 shifted sentiment negatively, spurring a 280-pip drop from near weekly highs from 1.2630s to below 1.2350. At …
Read More »Weekly Recap: Inflation Storm Drives Bond Yields Higher, Boosting US Dollar
No other week this year has witnessed such a dense convergence of macroeconomic catalysts as the tra…
US Index Futures Under Pressure Amid Iran War Escalation and Oil Spike
US stock index futures moved lower ahead of the trading session, reflecting rising investor caution …
Why It Matters: UAE Strengthens Energy Exports With Strategic Pipeline Bypassing Hormuz
The United Arab Emirates is moving to reshape its energy export strategy with the construction of a …
Fragile Pause in the World’s Biggest Economic Rivalry After Leaders’ Talks
The trade relationship between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies, remai…
Carry Trades Roar Back as Interest Rate Gaps Drive G10 Currency Rally
Currency carry trades are enjoying their strongest performance in years as investors return to high-…
British Pound Slides as UK Political Turmoil and Iran Tensions Boost US Dollar
The British Pound extended its sharp decline on Friday, heading toward its fourth consecutive daily …
WTI Oil Surges Above $100 as Trump-Xi Summit Intensifies Supply Concerns
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed above the key $100-per-barrel level on Friday, as markets reac…
Euro Slides Toward Monthly Lows as Hawkish Fed Bets Strengthen US Dollar
The Euro weakened further against the US Dollar on Friday, with the EUR/USD pair falling toward its …
Oil Erupts Over 2% as Trump Declares War of Words on Iran: Weekly Gains Hit 10% Despite Xi Summit Charm Offensive
Key Takeaways Sharp Friday gains: Brent crude rose 2.8% to $108.65 per barrel, while WTI surged 3.4%…
Trump-Xi Summit Wraps with “Series of New Consensus” — But Concrete Deals Remain a Mystery
Key Takeaways Second round concluded: Trump and Xi wrapped their second round of talks Friday, per C…
Market Analysis
May, 2022
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5 May 2022 8:43 pm
Shopify stock down 17% after earnings miss
Shopify posted adjusted earnings of 20 cents per share, while Wall Street had expected 63 cents per share, according to a Refinitiv survey of analysts. Revenue grew 22% year over year to $1.2 billion, but that still fell short of Wall Street’s projected $1.24 billion.Shares of Shopify plunged more than …
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5 May 2022 8:29 pm
USD/JPY Surges As US Yields Jump
The USD/JPY pair rose further climbing above the level it had before the FOMC meeting. It is testing the weekly high near 130.40 after rising from than 150 pips from the daily lows boosted by higher US yields.The selloff in Treasuries resumed after a two-day pause and the day after …
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5 May 2022 8:13 pm
Gold Retreats On Risk Aversion
Gold has extended its losses below solid resistance around $1890. The Gold Index is recording losses during the North American session, retreating from daily highs around $1909.66, amid a risk-off market sentiment.Two central banks expressed worries about China, while the Bank of England foresees a GDP contraction on 2023 for …
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5 May 2022 7:30 pm
Rehn suggests ECB’s hike in July
Olli Rehn, one of the European Central Bank’s officials spoke out in favor of an interest-rate increase in July, suggesting a growing shift on the Governing Council toward such a move. The governor of the Finnish central bank is one of more dovish policy makers and member of the ECB’s …
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5 May 2022 7:18 pm
WTI Crude Trades Above $110
Oil prices rallied for a second straight session on Thursday, with front-month WTI futures briefly hitting their highest levels in more than one month above the $110 per barrel mark before more recently pulling back closer to $109.00. The WTI crude oil rallied above $110 to hit its highest levels …
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5 May 2022 7:08 pm
US Equities Reverses Post-Fed Gains
The S&P 500 recently fell back below the 4,200 level, taking its losses to more than 2.5% or 100 points as US equities have largely reversed Wednesday’s post-Fed rally, with big tech names leading the decline as yields surge.Wednesday’s post-Fed soaring was short-lived, with all the three major US equity …
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5 May 2022 5:14 pm
US: Weekly Initial Jobless Claims rise to 200K
There were 200,000 initial jobless claims in the US in the week ending on 30 April, according to the latest data released by the Department of Labour on Thursday. That was above expectations for a slight rise from 181,000 in the prior week to 182,000. That brought the four-week average number …
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5 May 2022 3:39 pm
Expectations of OPEC + to stick to modest increases in oil production amid high prices
The OPEC+ alliance is likely to stick with a plan to raise oil production modestly on Thursday and confirm that it is not responsible for global supply disruptions while stressing that the coronavirus-related shutdowns in China threaten demand expectations. Five OPEC+ delegates are expected to agree to an increase of …
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5 May 2022 3:05 pm
BoE hikes interest rates by 25 bps to 1.0%
The Bank of England on Thursday raised interest rates by 25 bps to 1.0%. Six of the bank’s nine rate-setters supported the 25 bps hike, though three wanted a larger 50 bps move. The rate hike was in line with expectations, but the vote split was more hawkish than expected, …
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5 May 2022 2:22 pm
German Factory Orders plunge 4.7% MoM in March
The German Factory Orders fell sharply in March, suggesting that the manufacturing sector of Europe’s economic powerhouse is seeing a fresh downturn. Contracts for goods ‘Made in Germany’ declined by 4.7% on the month vs. -1.1% expected and -0.8% last, the latest data published by the Federal Statistics Office showed on …
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5 May 2022 1:38 pm
Inflation in Turkey jumps to 70% in April, the highest level in 20 years
Turkey’s annual inflation rate jumped to 69.97 percent in April, exceeding expectations and constituting the highest inflation level in two decades, data showed on Thursday, driven by the Russian-Ukrainian conflict and the rise in commodity prices after the lira collapsed late last year. The Turkish Statistical Institute said consumer prices …
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5 May 2022 1:17 pm
European shares rebound after US interest rate hike
European shares rose on Thursday, tracking Wall Street’s rally overnight, after the US Federal Reserve raised interest rates as expected but calmed bets on a major tightening, with sentiment rebounding further thanks to a streak of big profits. The pan-European Stoxx 600 index rose 1.8 percent, reversing many of the …
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