German industrial production rose less-than-expected in May, official data showed on Thursday, as supply chain problems stemming from the war in Ukraine and COVID-19-related shutdowns in China made it difficult to process orders. The Federal Statistics Office said industrial output rose 0.2 percent month-on-month, after an upwardly revised 1.3 percent …
Read More »Weekly Recap: Inflation Storm Drives Bond Yields Higher, Boosting US Dollar
No other week this year has witnessed such a dense convergence of macroeconomic catalysts as the tra…
US Index Futures Under Pressure Amid Iran War Escalation and Oil Spike
US stock index futures moved lower ahead of the trading session, reflecting rising investor caution …
Why It Matters: UAE Strengthens Energy Exports With Strategic Pipeline Bypassing Hormuz
The United Arab Emirates is moving to reshape its energy export strategy with the construction of a …
Fragile Pause in the World’s Biggest Economic Rivalry After Leaders’ Talks
The trade relationship between the United States and China, the world’s two largest economies, remai…
Carry Trades Roar Back as Interest Rate Gaps Drive G10 Currency Rally
Currency carry trades are enjoying their strongest performance in years as investors return to high-…
British Pound Slides as UK Political Turmoil and Iran Tensions Boost US Dollar
The British Pound extended its sharp decline on Friday, heading toward its fourth consecutive daily …
WTI Oil Surges Above $100 as Trump-Xi Summit Intensifies Supply Concerns
West Texas Intermediate crude climbed above the key $100-per-barrel level on Friday, as markets reac…
Euro Slides Toward Monthly Lows as Hawkish Fed Bets Strengthen US Dollar
The Euro weakened further against the US Dollar on Friday, with the EUR/USD pair falling toward its …
Oil Erupts Over 2% as Trump Declares War of Words on Iran: Weekly Gains Hit 10% Despite Xi Summit Charm Offensive
Key Takeaways Sharp Friday gains: Brent crude rose 2.8% to $108.65 per barrel, while WTI surged 3.4%…
Trump-Xi Summit Wraps with “Series of New Consensus” — But Concrete Deals Remain a Mystery
Key Takeaways Second round concluded: Trump and Xi wrapped their second round of talks Friday, per C…
Market Analysis
July, 2022
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7 July 2022 3:39 am
Market Drivers – US Session – Wednesday, July 6
The head of the International Monetary Fund on Wednesday said the outlook for the global economy had darkened significantly since April and she could not rule out a possible global recession next year given the elevated risks.Recession-linked fears are still accelerating and leading the way across all financial markets and …
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7 July 2022 3:28 am
USD/CAD retreats as oil recovers
The USD/CAD pair remains pressured around 1.3030, extending the previous day’s pullback from the highest levels since late 2020, as traders pare USD gains amid a quiet Asian session on Thursday. It is worth noting that the bounce in the prices of Canada’s main export item, WTI crude oil also …
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7 July 2022 3:21 am
This week’s NFP Data Act As Real Test For Dollar’s Performance
While the calendar’s second half of the year started last Friday, on the first of July, it will practically begin in the financial markets with the upcoming US jobs data scheduled to be released this Friday. Non Farm Payroll data will be very useful to gauge where the USD currently …
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7 July 2022 3:12 am
Goldman Sachs’ First Bitcoin Activity Signals A Big Move
Goldman Sachs reportedly opened first BTC futures and options position. Invalidation of the bearish downtrend is a break and close above $21,868.Bitcoin price shows technical reasons to believe in one more decline. Goldman Sachs’ entrance into the crypto market is a strong indication of a big move to come.Bitcoin price …
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7 July 2022 2:47 am
Oil retreats 2% on global recession-linked fears
WTI continued to slide on Wednesday on recession fears. Analysts said oil prices dropped due to recession fears; citing numerous reasons, including the unwinding of the oil trade as inflation hedge, a stronger US dollar, hedge funds reacting to negative oil price momentum, producer hedging, and new mobility restriction concerns …
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7 July 2022 1:48 am
FOMC Minutes Explained
Following data showing consumer prices running at an 8.6% 12-month rate and inflation expectations rising, the rate-setting Federal Open Market Committee chose the most tightening path.Fed Officials indicated a series of increases that would take the funds rate to 3.4% this year, above the longer-run neutral rate of 2.5%. Futures …
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7 July 2022 12:34 am
Boris Johnson sacks Michael Gove
Michael Gove, one of the most senior ministers in the British government, earlier told Prime Minister Boris Johnson he must quit. As a consequence, the PM has firmed him as he seeks to reshuffle out those that oppose his leadership from within his cabinet. Resignations began on Tuesday after Downing …
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6 July 2022 11:36 pm
IMF’s Georgieva: global economic outlook has ‘darkened significantly’
The head of the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on Wednesday said the outlook for the global economy had darkened significantly since April and she could not rule out a possible global recession next year given the elevated risks.IMF Managing Director Kristalina Georgieva told Reuters the fund would downgrade in coming …
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6 July 2022 10:13 pm
FOMC Minutes: Even more restrictive policy is possible in time
The Federal Open Market Committee released its hawkish minutes of the June policy meeting. Markets have nearly fully priced in another 75-basis points rate hike in July with which the minutes align. Investors are paying close attention to discussions around the September rate decision. The US dollar is little changed …
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6 July 2022 8:42 pm
UK: Johnson’s party to hold election before changing rules
The UK’s Conservative Party’s 1922 Committee will hold an internal election of a new executive next Monday. The new executive will decide whether to change the rules surrounding the grace period following the no-confidence vote. The British pound is having hard times amid political jitters. The GBP/USD pair, which touched …
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6 July 2022 7:52 pm
JOLTS Job Openings fall to 11.254 million in May
The number of job openings decreased to 11.254 million in May from 11.681 million in April, the monthly Job Openings and Labor Turnover Summary (JOLTS) published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics showed on Wednesday. “Hires and total separations were little changed at 6.5 million and 6.0 million, respectively,” …
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6 July 2022 7:08 pm
ISM Services PMI retreats below expectations
The ISM Services PMI in June retreated to 55.3 from 55.9 in May, showing that the business activity in the service sector expanded at a slightly softer pace. This data, however, came in better than the market expectation of 54.5.“The slight slowdown in services sector growth was due to a …
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