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Forex Market

Are Tariffs the Unseen Hand Pushing Inflation Ahead of PCE Data?

Core PCE

The recent moderation in core inflation, as suggested by forecasts for the August Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) report, offers a glimmer of hope. However, it would be a mistake to assume this slight cooling means the battle against rising prices is over. A significant, and often underestimated, factor looms over …

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U.S. GDP Revised Up to 3.8% in Q2, but Momentum Seen Slowing

The U.S. economy expanded more strongly than initially thought in the second quarter, but analysts warn that momentum is already cooling under the weight of tariffs and policy uncertainty. Stronger Q2 Growth on Imports and Spending The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised second-quarter GDP growth up to …

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U.S. Jobless Claims Dip While GDP Growth Revised Sharply Higher

The U.S. labor market showed surprising resilience last week as first-time jobless claims fell more than expected, while a stronger-than-initially-reported economic expansion in the second quarter added to signs of underlying growth momentum. Jobless Claims Beat Expectations For the week ending September 20, initial unemployment claims dropped to 218,000, down …

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