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Economic Report

Dollar Holds Firm Amid Hormuz Tensions and Fragile Ceasefire

Global markets remain on edge as geopolitical uncertainty continues to weigh on sentiment. The US Dollar is holding steady near the 98.20 level, supported by safe-haven demand amid ongoing disruptions in the Strait of Hormuz. Reports of a partial blockade and Iran’s proposal to impose transit tolls through its domestic …

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Fed’s Williams Flags a Deepening Community Crisis Beyond Inflation

The US economy is navigating an increasingly fragile balance between monetary stability and geopolitical disruption, as policymakers confront risks that extend far beyond traditional inflation dynamics. In New York, John Williams, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of New York, emphasized that while current interest-rate settings remain appropriate, the underlying …

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Stephen Miran Signals Up to Four Rate Cuts as Fed Balances Inflation Risks

Stephen Miran has signaled that the Federal Reserve may move toward cutting interest rates later this year, with expectations ranging between three and four reductions if economic conditions allow. His remarks reflect a cautious shift in tone, as policymakers begin to consider easing monetary policy after an extended period of …

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ECB’s Waiting Game in Frankfurt: Markets Left Guessing on Interest Rate Path

With the next policy meeting fast approaching, the European Central Bank finds itself walking a tightrope. Signals from policymakers suggest there is no clear consensus yet on the direction of interest rates, leaving markets in a state of cautious anticipation. Investors increasingly believe that officials may choose to hold rates …

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Wall Street Wavers at Record Highs as S&P 500 Breaches 7,000 Amid Geopolitical Optimism and Earnings Beats

Key Takeaways: Record-breaking rally: The S&P 500 closed above 7,000 for the first time in history, while the Nasdaq notched a fresh all-time peak. Geopolitical pivot: Markets are pricing in a resolution to the U.S.-Iran conflict, though analysts warn the upside from peace talks may be capped. Blockade persists: A …

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Aluminum Prices Smash Four-Year Highs as Geopolitical Turmoil Threatens Global Supply Chains

Key Takeaways: Prices hit multi-year peaks: LME aluminum breached $3,636 per metric ton, its highest level since March 2022, while Shanghai futures jumped 2.9%. Massive supply deficit looms: Analysts at JPMorgan Chase forecast a 1.9-million-ton shortfall this year—the largest since 2000—driven heavily by Middle Eastern production losses. Global inventories plunge: …

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Oil Claws Back on China Growth Surprise, Yet Fragile U.S.-Iran Peace Hopes Cap Gains

Key Takeaways: Crude edges higher: Oil prices reversed early losses in Asian trading, with Brent futures ticking up to $95.06 a barrel and WTI steadying at $88.06. China’s economic engine revs: The world’s top crude importer posted a stronger-than-expected 5% GDP growth for the first quarter, bolstering the demand outlook. …

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Asian Equities Rally as Nikkei Shatters Records on Wall Street Momentum and Strong China GDP

Key Takeaways: Nikkei hits historic highs: Japan’s Nikkei 225 surged 2.6% to a record 59,624.0 points, fueled by relentless demand for tech and semiconductor stocks. China’s economy beats expectations: Chinese Q1 GDP grew 5.0% year-over-year, outperforming forecasts, though retail sales highlighted lingering domestic demand weakness. Wall Street handover drives optimism: …

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