Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) edged higher in September, signaling a modest uptick in inflation and complicating the outlook for future monetary policy decisions by the Bank of Canada (BoC). According to Statistics Canada, the CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year, accelerating from 1.9% in August and slightly exceeding market expectations. On …
Read More »Powell Warns of No Easy Path as Fed Faces Inflation and Labor Market Crosswinds
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a sobering assessment of the U.S. economic landscape, underscoring the complex trade-offs facing monetary policymakers. In his latest remarks, Powell emphasized that while recent data still point to steady economic growth, the central bank is increasingly concerned about mounting risks in both the labor …
Read More »ADP Report Shows Surprise Job Loss, Raising Concerns Ahead of NFP
The latest ADP National Employment Report delivered a negative surprise, showing a decline of 32,000 private-sector jobs in September, well below expectations for an increase of 52,000. The report, compiled from payroll data of nearly 400,000 U.S. businesses, highlights further weakness in the labor market. It also marks a continuation …
Read More »U.S. GDP Revised Up to 3.8% in Q2, but Momentum Seen Slowing
The U.S. economy expanded more strongly than initially thought in the second quarter, but analysts warn that momentum is already cooling under the weight of tariffs and policy uncertainty. Stronger Q2 Growth on Imports and Spending The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised second-quarter GDP growth up to …
Read More »U.S. Jobless Claims Dip While GDP Growth Revised Sharply Higher
The U.S. labor market showed surprising resilience last week as first-time jobless claims fell more than expected, while a stronger-than-initially-reported economic expansion in the second quarter added to signs of underlying growth momentum. Jobless Claims Beat Expectations For the week ending September 20, initial unemployment claims dropped to 218,000, down …
Read More »Bank of Japan Holds Rates Steady, Moves Toward Asset Unwinding
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% on Friday, aligning with market forecasts, as policymakers weighed political uncertainty at home and the broader impact of U.S. trade tariffs on Japan’s economy. The decision came by a 7-2 majority, with board members Takata Hajime and …
Read More »Fed Slashes Rates to 4.00%–4.25% as Expected, Signals Cautious Path Ahead
During its September 2025 meeting, the Federal Reserve reduced the Federal Funds Target Range (FFTR) by 25 basis points to 4.00%–4.25%, aligning precisely with market expectations. The following preview was released at 10:00 GMT ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy announcements:The US Federal Reserve was anticipated to implement its first …
Read More »Canada Inflation Report – August 2025
Headline Figures Annual CPI: Rose 1.9%, slightly below forecasts of 2.0%, but higher than July’s 1.7%. Monthly CPI: Fell 0.1%, versus expectations of a 0.1% rise. Core Inflation: CPI-median held steady at 3.1%. CPI-trim eased to 3.0% from 3.1%. Excluding gasoline, CPI slowed to 2.4% from 2.5% in the prior …
Read More »U.S. Retail Sales – August 2025 Report
Headline Figures Monthly Growth: Retail Sales in the U.S. rose 0.6% in August, reaching $732 billion. Previous Month: July’s growth was revised upward to 0.6% from an initial estimate of 0.5%. Market Expectations: The August figure came in well above forecasts of 0.2%, showing stronger-than-anticipated consumer spending. Annual Growth: Retail …
Read More »U.S. Inflation Rises in August, Keeping Fed Rate Cut in Focus
U.S. headline consumer price growth accelerated in August, but the increase was largely in line with expectations, reinforcing market conviction that the Federal Reserve will move ahead with an interest rate cut at its upcoming policy meeting. Headline CPI Annual CPI: 2.9% (vs. 2.7% in July, matching forecasts) Monthly CPI: …
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