Sterling continues to grind lower in line with our bearish view, edging toward the 1.3100 target (last at 1.3108). Technical outlook Momentum: RSI has exited oversold but remains negative, consistent with bearish control. Trend/SMAs: Price holds below the simple moving averages, which continue to act as dynamic resistance. Structure: Ongoing …
Read More »Oil Holds Steady Above the Moving Average 4/11/2025
Price action has been mixed with a slight dip, but the corrective uptrend remains intact. Technical outlook SMAs: Still trending beneath price, supporting momentum. RSI: Attempting to turn higher, consistent with scope for another push up. Base case (bullish while above $60.45) Holding $60.45 keeps the upside favored. A decisive …
Read More »Gold Keeps the Corrective Downtrend on Track 4/11/2025
Selling pressure persists within the ongoing corrective downswing, with price printing a $3,962 low in the prior session. Technical outlook Trend/SMAs: 4H simple moving averages slope lower and sit above price as dynamic resistance, capping rebounds. Structure: A prior rising trendline break keeps bears in control. Momentum (RSI): Continues to …
Read More »Dollar Strength Weighs on the Euro 4/11/2025
The pair hit our first target at 1.1500, printing a 1.1481 low. Technical outlook Trend/SMAs: Price remains capped beneath the simple moving averages and continues to respect a descending trendline, preserving the bearish bias. Momentum (RSI): RSI has exited oversold without a convincing rebound—consistent with persistent selling pressure. Base case …
Read More »Dollar hovers near three-month high as data drought keeps Fed cautious
The U.S. dollar steadied near a three-month peak on Monday, with traders bracing for a thin slate of economic signals that is unlikely to shift the Federal Reserve’s cautious stance. The dollar index rose 0.16% to 99.89—its highest since August 1—after the Fed’s quarter-point cut last week was paired with …
Read More »Europe stocks muted ahead of PMI prints; October outperformance in focus, select earnings in the spotlight
European equities started the week on a cautious note Monday as investors looked to a fresh round of manufacturing PMIs for a read on the bloc’s industrial pulse. By 03:02 ET (08:02 GMT), Germany’s DAX edged up 0.1%, the U.K.’s FTSE 100 rose 0.2%, while France’s CAC 40 dipped 0.1%. …
Read More »France Manufacturing Softens Again in October Despite Slight PMI Upgrade
France’s factory sector remained in contraction at the start of the fourth quarter, even as the final October reading showed a marginal improvement versus earlier estimates. The HCOB France Manufacturing PMI rose to 48.8 in October from 48.2 in September, topping the 48.3 flash print but staying below the 50.0 …
Read More »Dow Jones Leans on Support 3/11/2025
Price action has been choppy, but a short-term upward rebound has emerged. Technical outlook 50-SMA (4H): Continues to underpin price. RSI: Back above 50, signaling improving momentum. Base case (intraday bullish trigger) A clear break and hold above 47,800 would tilt bias higher toward 47,850, then 47,920. Alternative / downside …
Read More »CAD Attacks Resistance 3/11/2025
The pair kept its positive momentum, grinding higher to test 1.4030 resistance. Technical outlook Structure: A break above the descending trendline is intact. SMAs: Simple moving averages have rotated beneath price, providing support. RSI: Easing from overbought without breaking down—consistent with scope for further upside. Base case (bullish while above …
Read More »Pound Maintains the Bearish Path 3/11/2025
Sterling extended its downtrend into last week’s close, meeting the 1.3105 target and printing a 1.3097 low. Technical outlook RSI: Back out of oversold but still sending negative momentum signals—consistent with bearish control. SMAs: Price holds below the simple moving averages, which continue to act as dynamic resistance. Structure: Ongoing …
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