The EUR/GBP stands at 0.8555 in Monday’s session, jumping above the 20-day SMA. Sticky European inflation may push the ECB to a more aggressive stance toward the easing cycle.The week’s highlight will be the British and the EU’s Manufacturing PMIs from February. As long as markets bet on the BoE …
Read More »BoE’s Pill: Weak UK activity puts no significant pressure on inflation
Bank of England Chief Economist and Monetary Policy Committee member Huw Pill gave talking points while participating in a panel discussion at the Annual National Association for Business Economics Economic Policy Conference, in Washington DC late Friday. Key Quotes UK labour market remains tight, driven by both weak supply and …
Read More »BoE’s Greene: Evidence on cooling inflation is prerequisite for rate cut
Bank of England policymaker Megan Greene has stated that she will not vote to cut the cost of borrowing until more evidence of inflation returning to the central bank’s target is found. Greene believes that UK monetary policy will need to remain restrictive for some time for inflation to sustainably …
Read More »UK GDP Contracts in January, Exceeding Market Expectations
GDP Data Release:Data released Thursday morning by the Office for National Statistics in Britain revealed that the country’s gross domestic product (GDP) contracted by 0.1% on a monthly basis in January. This figure exceeded market expectations, which had predicted a contraction of 0.2%. Notably, the previous reading for December indicated …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, February 14
The US Dollar retreated after a strong rebound on Tuesday due to CPI, easing the pressure in the risk-linked universe. The USD Index (DXY) fell from multi-week highs near the 105.00 barrier due to uneven improvement in the risk complex.Economic DataRetail Sales, the Philly Fed Manufacturing Index, Industrial Production, the …
Read More »Could UK fall into a technical recession?
The UK’s GDP is expected to experience a marginal contraction in Q4, with the Bank of England expecting a slow but steady increase in growth over the next few quarters. If the GDP prints meet market consensus, the UK economy would have entered a “technical recession” following the 0.1% contraction …
Read More »Bailey: Latest inflation data in UK “good news”
Bank of England (BoE) Governor Andrew Bailey described the most recent inflation statistics as “good news” and pointed out that it indicated greater downward pressure than they had anticipated during his testimony before the UK Economic Affairs Committee on Wednesday. Bailey’s remarks did not cause the GBP/USD to move noticeably. …
Read More »EUR/GBP finds fresh modest gains despite dovish ECB
The EUR/GBP pair had a 0.10% increase on Thursday and is currently trading at 0.8540. The GBP will eventually gain from the ECB and BoE’s different monetary policies.The markets are pointing to an April rate cut from the ECB and a June rate cut from the BoE. The EUR/GBP pair …
Read More »BoE’s Mann: Near-term decelerating inflation won’t continue
Bank of England policymaker Catherine Mann, who voted in favor of a rate hike in the last policy meeting, said on Thursday that she is not convinced that the near-term declaration in headline inflation will continue.Mann noted that she is worried that a Red Sea price shock could be incorporated …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, February 6
The US dollar’s correction caused the USD Index (DXY) to retreat from its previous annual highs, which were located at 104.60, in the face of similarly low US yields. On February 7, a number of Fed speakers, including Kugler, Collins, Barkin, and Bowman, will be speaking along with the Balance …
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