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Market Update

Gold Holds Above $4,300 as Peace Hopes Grow and Markets Await Fed Decision

Gold prices remained firm above the $4,300 mark in early Wednesday trading, recovering from recent lows as investors balanced improving geopolitical conditions with uncertainty surrounding U.S. monetary policy. The precious metal stabilized near $4,335 after rebounding from weakness seen in recent sessions. While progress toward a potential peace agreement between …

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Dollar Steadies as Iran Euphoria Fades: Bank of America Warns “Don’t Chase the Move” as FOMC Hawkish Skew Risk Looms

Key Takeaways Dollar stabilizes: The DXY was little changed in London trade after hitting a 10-day low Monday; EUR/USD edged up 0.2%. Iran euphoria fading: Currency traders are beginning to fade the initial peace deal excitement as concrete details on sanctions and Hormuz remain scarce. Hawkish backdrop protects dollar: The …

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Bond Yields Hit Multi-Week Lows as Iran War Inflation Premium Unwinds: December Fed Hike Odds Collapse to 40%

Key Takeaways U.S. 10-year at 1-month low: The benchmark Treasury yield drifted to 4.43% as fixed-income markets aggressively priced out worst-case inflation scenarios. 2-year yield steadies: The policy-sensitive rate held at 4.05% after striking a one-week low in the prior session. December Fed hike odds collapse: The implied probability of …

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Wall Street Futures Pause After Monday’s Surge: Fed Meeting Begins as Brent Extends Drop Below $82

Key Takeaways Futures muted: Dow futures were mostly flat, S&P 500 futures slipped 0.1%, and Nasdaq 100 futures ticked up 0.1%. Deutsche Bank’s read: “Markets have clearly stabilized this morning after the surge of optimism that surrounded the deal yesterday.” Monday’s records: The Dow gained 469 points (+0.9%), S&P 500 …

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Bitcoin Treads Water at $66K as Fed Meeting and Iran MOU Signing Keep Traders Cautious

Key Takeaways Bitcoin barely moves: The world’s largest crypto rose just 0.4% to $66,116.4 as caution prevailed ahead of two major catalysts. Recovery fading: Bitcoin had bounced in recent sessions on Iran peace deal optimism, but the upside is stalling. Iran MOU signing Friday: Both sides agreed to halt hostilities, …

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Trump Says Hormuz “Completely Open” by Friday as G7 Diplomacy Accelerates: Israel’s Lebanon Offensive Threatens to Derail MOU

Key Takeaways Trump’s Friday deadline: Speaking at the G7 in France, the president said the Strait of Hormuz is already “partially opened” and will be “completely opened” by Friday. WSJ contradicts timeline: Senior U.S. officials told the paper it could take two weeks for normal shipping operations to resume. Brent …

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Oil Holds Near 3-Month Lows as Hormuz Deal Details Awaited: Trump Says Ships Moving But Full Recovery Months Away

Key Takeaways Oil edges lower: Brent fell 0.5% to $82.75 per barrel, while WTI dipped 0.3% to $80.54 — consolidating near Monday’s 5% crash. Both at March lows: Monday’s sharp selloff erased much of the geopolitical risk premium built up during the Gulf conflict. MOU details: Trump’s interim deal extends …

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Nikkei Breaks 70,000 After BOJ Hikes to 1%: KOSPI Extends Tech Rally as China’s Weak Data Weighs on Hang Seng

Key Takeaways Nikkei hits record above 70,000: Japan’s benchmark rose 0.5% to breach the historic milestone after the BOJ delivered its expected hike. BOJ hikes to 1%: The 25 basis point increase was widely anticipated; the central bank signaled readiness to hike further if inflation and growth progress as expected. …

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Rates Higher for Longer: The Four Words Looming Over Wall Street, Main Street

Millions of Americans hoping for lower borrowing costs this summer are likely to be disappointed.When the Federal Reserve concludes its latest policy meeting this week, investors overwhelmingly expect interest rates to remain unchanged. Yet the bigger story may not be the decision itself, but what it reveals about the philosophy …

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Brent Slides 3.7%, WTI Drops 3.5% as Hormuz Reopening Eases Energy Stress

Oil Plunges More Than 5% as Hormuz Reopening Sparks Global Market RallyA Peace Deal Rewrites the Market NarrativeFor months, the global economy has been held hostage by one question: what happens if energy supplies from the Middle East remain disrupted?On Monday, markets finally received an answer.A breakthrough agreement between the …

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