The U.S. dollar slipped to its lowest level in more than a week on Tuesday, as renewed signs of weakness in the labor market and optimism over a possible end to the government shutdown weighed on the currency.Investors continued to sell the greenback amid growing speculation that the Federal Reserve …
Read More »U.S. private payrolls beat expectations in October, complicating the Fed’s near-term calculus
U.S. private-sector employment rose by 42,000 in October, according to ADP, topping the 25,000 increase economists expected and offering a modest counterweight to worries about cooling labor demand. While hardly a hiring surge, the upside surprise nudges the narrative away from an imminent growth scare and underscores that job creation—though …
Read More »Powell-Led Fed Approves Quarter-Point Rate Reduction
The Fed has just enacted its second interest rate cut in a row, lowering the federal funds target range to a decisive 3.75 percent to 4 percent. This action, which brings the benchmark rate below 4 percent for the first time since late 2022, was a clear response to mounting …
Read More »Canadian Retail Sales Rebound in August, Driven by Auto Sector and Discretionary Spending
Canadian retail sales saw a notable 1.0% increase in August, rising to $70.4 billion, according to data released Friday by Statistics Canada. This performance marked a decisive turnaround following a contraction in July, with the growth observed across six of nine subsectors. Significantly, the gain was matched by a 1.0% …
Read More »Canada’s Inflation Rises Slightly, Keeping Pressure on the Bank of Canada
Canada’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) edged higher in September, signaling a modest uptick in inflation and complicating the outlook for future monetary policy decisions by the Bank of Canada (BoC). According to Statistics Canada, the CPI rose 2.4% year-on-year, accelerating from 1.9% in August and slightly exceeding market expectations. On …
Read More »Powell Warns of No Easy Path as Fed Faces Inflation and Labor Market Crosswinds
Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a sobering assessment of the U.S. economic landscape, underscoring the complex trade-offs facing monetary policymakers. In his latest remarks, Powell emphasized that while recent data still point to steady economic growth, the central bank is increasingly concerned about mounting risks in both the labor …
Read More »ADP Report Shows Surprise Job Loss, Raising Concerns Ahead of NFP
The latest ADP National Employment Report delivered a negative surprise, showing a decline of 32,000 private-sector jobs in September, well below expectations for an increase of 52,000. The report, compiled from payroll data of nearly 400,000 U.S. businesses, highlights further weakness in the labor market. It also marks a continuation …
Read More »U.S. GDP Revised Up to 3.8% in Q2, but Momentum Seen Slowing
The U.S. economy expanded more strongly than initially thought in the second quarter, but analysts warn that momentum is already cooling under the weight of tariffs and policy uncertainty. Stronger Q2 Growth on Imports and Spending The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised second-quarter GDP growth up to …
Read More »U.S. Jobless Claims Dip While GDP Growth Revised Sharply Higher
The U.S. labor market showed surprising resilience last week as first-time jobless claims fell more than expected, while a stronger-than-initially-reported economic expansion in the second quarter added to signs of underlying growth momentum. Jobless Claims Beat Expectations For the week ending September 20, initial unemployment claims dropped to 218,000, down …
Read More »Bank of Japan Holds Rates Steady, Moves Toward Asset Unwinding
The Bank of Japan (BOJ) kept its benchmark interest rate unchanged at 0.5% on Friday, aligning with market forecasts, as policymakers weighed political uncertainty at home and the broader impact of U.S. trade tariffs on Japan’s economy. The decision came by a 7-2 majority, with board members Takata Hajime and …
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