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U.S. private payrolls beat expectations in October, complicating the Fed’s near-term calculus

U.S. private-sector employment rose by 42,000 in October, according to ADP, topping the 25,000 increase economists expected and offering a modest counterweight to worries about cooling labor demand. While hardly a hiring surge, the upside surprise nudges the narrative away from an imminent growth scare and underscores that job creation—though …

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Powell Warns of No Easy Path as Fed Faces Inflation and Labor Market Crosswinds

Federal Reserve Chair Jerome Powell delivered a sobering assessment of the U.S. economic landscape, underscoring the complex trade-offs facing monetary policymakers. In his latest remarks, Powell emphasized that while recent data still point to steady economic growth, the central bank is increasingly concerned about mounting risks in both the labor …

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ADP Report Shows Surprise Job Loss, Raising Concerns Ahead of NFP

The latest ADP National Employment Report delivered a negative surprise, showing a decline of 32,000 private-sector jobs in September, well below expectations for an increase of 52,000. The report, compiled from payroll data of nearly 400,000 U.S. businesses, highlights further weakness in the labor market. It also marks a continuation …

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U.S. GDP Revised Up to 3.8% in Q2, but Momentum Seen Slowing

The U.S. economy expanded more strongly than initially thought in the second quarter, but analysts warn that momentum is already cooling under the weight of tariffs and policy uncertainty. Stronger Q2 Growth on Imports and Spending The Commerce Department’s Bureau of Economic Analysis (BEA) revised second-quarter GDP growth up to …

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U.S. Jobless Claims Dip While GDP Growth Revised Sharply Higher

The U.S. labor market showed surprising resilience last week as first-time jobless claims fell more than expected, while a stronger-than-initially-reported economic expansion in the second quarter added to signs of underlying growth momentum. Jobless Claims Beat Expectations For the week ending September 20, initial unemployment claims dropped to 218,000, down …

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