Tag Archives: yield curve

Oil prices fell on Friday, ahead of a meeting of member states of the International Energy Agency to discuss the withdrawal of strategic oil reserves, coinciding with a massive planned withdrawal of reserves in the United States. Brent crude and US West Texas Intermediate crude are heading for their biggest …

Global stocks fell on Thursday as recession concerns and the Russian-Ukranian war curbed demand for risky assets, while oil prices plunged over $5 on news that the United States may release some of its emergency oil reserves.With Thursday’s drop, US and European stocks are set for their worst quarterly performance …

While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …

Coincident measures of real growth continue to slowly march lower on a trending basis. Leading indicators of real growth show no signs of an imminent inflection higher in growth. Jerome Powell was extremely hawkish after raising interest rates 0.25%.The yield curve flattened massively in response to slowing growth and an …

The Bank of England is almost certain to increase borrowing costs on Thursday, marking the third consecutive meeting where it has hiked rate as it continues its exit from pandemic-related stimulus. One problem is that BoE hike expectations are not happening in a vacuum or in isolation. Other Developed Market …

Soaring energy prices raised recession alarm bells around the world. But another economic indicator is starting to look threatening: The yield curve is flattening. Wall Street closely watches the difference, or spread, between short-term government bond yields, most notably the 2-year Treasury, and longer-term bond rates like the 10-year Treasury.As …