The election of Trump increases the likelihood of policy-induced inflation, which forces the Fed to maintain its restrictive stance for a longer period of time. A 25 basis point cut is anticipated when the FOMC meets on Thursday.The US economy is still expanding at or above the trend. Following former …
Read More »Following Trump’s presidential victory, crude oil reverses some of its recent losses
Crude oil stoops and bounces back following a 3% decline earlier due to Trump’s victory in the US presidential election. As Trump is declared winner and gets an inconsecutive second term as US president, the effects of Tropical Storm Rafael on the Gulf become less significant. On Wednesday, the US …
Read More »Ahead of the US election results, USD declines for a second consecutive week
As Americans prepare to cast their ballots on Tuesday, the price action of the US dollar is slowing down. In the event of a very close outcome, traders prepare for volatility because it may take days or weeks to choose the next US president. The US dollar index is holding …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session
US Election Driving Market Sentiment WorldwideThe US Dollar Index (DXY) weakened early this week as investors unwound positions related to the “Trump trade” and grew cautious ahead of the US election on Tuesday and the FOMC meeting on Thursday.Key Currency Pairs and Economic Events:EUR/USD: The pair climbed above 1.0900, but …
Read More »After Pennsylvania polls, US dollar hits a new nine-day low
Monday saw a decline in the value of the US dollar as Ipsos surveys predicted that Vice President Kamala Harris will win the US presidential election. With the FOMC meeting taking place amid uncertainties surrounding the US presidential election, traders are in for a highly tumultuous week. The US dollar …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session
The US Dollar Index (DXY) traded mixed on Monday as investors continued to grapple with rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and the implications of Friday’s strong jobs report. Despite higher US yields, the DXY remained near recent peaks above 102.00.Key Economic Events for Tuesday, October 8:US: NFIB Business …
Read More »European Stocks Edge Higher Amid Middle East Tensions, Awaiting Key Economic Data
European stock markets opened cautiously higher on Wednesday as investors remained wary of escalating tensions in the Middle East while turning their attention to upcoming employment data from the Eurozone. Markets Show Cautious OptimismDespite concerns over geopolitical risks, major European indices displayed modest gains: Germany’s DAX rose by 0.1%France’s CAC …
Read More »Sterling Rebounds Following Softer US PCE Data
The Pound Sterling bounces back strongly above 1.3400 against the US Dollar after soft US PCE inflation data. The Sterling surged against the US Dollar (USD) on Friday, buoyed by a surprising slowdown in US inflation. The unexpected decline in the Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE), the Federal Reserve’s …
Read More »Despite gains, bets on Fed could limit US Dollar’s uptrend
The market is still overestimating Fed easing even while the Fed is defying dovish expectations. S&P Global preliminary September PMIs came in above forecasts, indicating that the economy is still doing well. Fed representatives will make an effort to temper their dovish remarks. Amidst growing concerns of a recession, the …
Read More »Financial Markets Weekly Recap: Fed’s Pivotal Shift Triggers Risk-On
Fed’s Aggressive Rate Cut Signals a New Era Last week, the Federal Reserve made a significant move by cutting its policy rate by a substantial 0.5%. This marked a significant departure from its previous stance of aggressive rate hikes aimed at curbing inflation. The larger-than-expected cut signals a critical …
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