As of next January, a recession is predicted to hit the US economy as investment and production decline. According to a press release from the Conference Board, the Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell 0.8% in October and 3.3% over the previous six months, marking the 19th consecutive m-o-m decline. The …
Read More »Is US economy booming, China’s crashing?
China’s economy is seen as more sustainable because it is deflating its bubbles and raising productivity, while the US is doing the opposite – feeding the Bernanke bubble and hoping for an AI cure for falling productivity. The “twin cancers” plaguing China’s economy are a property bubble plus a shadow …
Read More »Are Biden-Xi talks able to achieve a Lot?
Little progress was made during the San Francisco meeting between President Joe Biden and Chinese President Xi Jinping, but both leaders made encouraging remarks about addressing climate change and enhancing communication. According to Biden, US support for China’s faltering economy is desirable, but not at the price of US intellectual …
Read More »Dollar declined after the US interest rate decision and eyes on BoE
The dollar was generally lower on Thursday, with risk-sensitive Asia-Pacific currencies leading gains as investors became increasingly convinced that US interest rates may have peaked after the Federal Reserve kept them unchanged. The focus now turns to the Bank of England and whether it will make the same move on …
Read More »FOMC’s statement: Inflation remains elevated
Recent data suggests that economic activity expanded at a strong pace in the third quarter, according to the FOMC statement released on Wednesday, Nov. 1, following the committee’s decision to leave interest rate policy unchanged. The following FOMC members voted in favour of the monetary policy decision: Philip N. Jefferson, …
Read More »US dollar leaps to daily highs ahead of awaited FOMC decision
On Wednesday, the US dollar reached a level not seen in almost a month as the DXY Index surged by 0.30%. The US dollar is supported by cautious market sentiment ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, even in the face of weak US economic data and declining US bond …
Read More »Do private equities constitute a risk for US economy?
With a focus on short-term profits from highly leveraged transactions with little regulatory or public scrutiny, private equity has grown to be a multitrillion dollar industry. Because of this secrecy, companies can behave carelessly and are harder to prosecute. For example, the amount of private equity invested in nursing homes …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, October 25
The US economy expanded at an annualized rate of 4.9% during the third quarter, surpassing market consensus of 4.2%. The report also revealed a lower-than-expected core Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index, which increased demand for bonds. Other data showed a rise in Continuing Jobless claims to 1.79 million, reaching …
Read More »Global Markets – Stocks struggle on mixed earnings, high Treasury yields
Global stock markets saw a decline on Thursday as US Treasury yields remained close to 5%, the country’s economy grew faster than anticipated, and corporate earnings were mixed.According to data, the third quarter saw the fastest rate of growth in the US economy in almost two years. This was despite …
Read More »US dollar gains ground amid sour market mood, Fed’s Beige Book
Due to sour market sentiment and the Fed’s Beige report, which revealed no material changes in economic activity since the September report, the US Dollar gained ground on Wednesday. Although US housing starts from September disappointed, building permits performed better than anticipated. The US Dollar Index reached a high of …
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