Economists expect US Retail Sales to have risen by a modest 0.4% in February. Robust consumption figures in previous months open the door to an upside surprise.Surge in the dollar could serve as a selling opportunity ahead of a potentially dovish Fed. Even war cannot stop America’s shopping extravaganza and …
Read More »Will FOMC Meeting Be A Tough Call?
The FOMC has an unenviable task of trying to guide monetary policy through a period of turbulence. The March 15-16 meeting will be essential to communicate its present action and set the monetary policy path and tone for the future.Leaning the stance of individual policymakers will matter more than usual …
Read More »US Annual PPI Climbs to 10% in February
The Producer Price Index (PPI) for final demand rose to 10% on a yearly basis in February from 9.7% in January, the data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics announced on Tuesday. This reading matched the market expectation. Annual Core PPI, which excludes food and energy prices, edged …
Read More »US Economy, T-Yields Show Recession Signals
Soaring energy prices raised recession alarm bells around the world. But another economic indicator is starting to look threatening: The yield curve is flattening. Wall Street closely watches the difference, or spread, between short-term government bond yields, most notably the 2-year Treasury, and longer-term bond rates like the 10-year Treasury.As …
Read More »Before FOMC’s Meeting, Experts Still React To CPI Data
The Bureau of Labor Statistics this week reported that the Consumer Price Index, the most widely used measure of inflation, rose 0.8% in February, up 7.9% over the last twelve months. Just after the BLS’s data, the Brookings Institution gathered a host of experts to explain what the latest CPI …
Read More »Goldman Sachs Forecast Lower US GDP
Goldman Sachs analysts now clearly see the increased risk that the United States will enter a recession during the next year, due to the war between Russia and Ukraine. Goldman Sachs noted that the lowering of US GDP expectations, which reflects higher oil prices and other growth factors related to …
Read More »Natural Gas Trade Sideways Ahead Of Weather-Based Demand
Natural gas prices held in a narrow range Wednesday, flipping between modest gains and losses as traders balanced global supply worries amid the war in Ukraine against the prospect of fading domestic demand.The April Nymex gas futures contract ultimately shed a tenth of a cent day/day and closed at $4.526/MMBtu. …
Read More »Goldman Sachs Becomes First Wall Street Bank to Leave Russia
Goldman Sachs said Thursday (Feb. 10) it has suspended its business in Russia, becoming the first major US banking group to leave that country after its war with Ukraine, and increasing pressure on its rivals to follow suit. Operating in Russia has become increasingly difficult for Western financial institutions with …
Read More »US House Approves Ukraine Aid, Russian Oil Embargo
The US House of Representatives has voted in favor of a bill that includes $13.6 billion in aid to Ukraine facing a Russian invasion, as well as $1.5 trillion in spending to fund US government programs through September 30. The House approved bipartisan spending and referred the legislation to the …
Read More »US Dollar Hovers Around 98.00 ahead of Initial Jobless Claims, CPI Data
The DXY is oscillating around 98.00 ahead of US inflation and Initial Jobless Claims. The risk-on impulse has brought a sell-off in the dollar index. Investors brace an aggressive tightening policy by the Fed.The US dollar index (DXY) is hovering around 98.00 as investors await the US Consumer Price Index …
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