While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …
Read More »Treasury Yield Curve Flattening Accelerates
Most Treasury yields slipped on Monday, as buyers returned to government debt following last week’s brutal selloff. Meanwhile, one part of the yield curve inverted for the first time in more than half a decade.The yield on the 10-year Treasury note TMUBMUSD10Y, 2.465% traded at 2.427%, down from 2.491% at …
Read More »Americans Support Tougher Sanctions On Russia
A majority of Americans believe President Biden has not been “tough enough” on Russia over its invasion of Ukraine but are concerned about the US being drawn into an all-out war with Russia, according to a poll published on Monday by the Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Affairs Research.Why it …
Read More »Michigan Consumer Sentiment Mostly Unchanged In March
Consumer Sentiment remained largely unchanged in late March at the same diminished level recorded at mid month. Inflation has been the primary cause of rising pessimism, with an expected year-ahead inflation rate at 5.4%, the highest since November 1981. Inflation was mentioned throughout the survey, whether the questions referred to …
Read More »US Durable Goods Orders Slump Below Expectations
With orders for transportation equipment pulling back sharply, the Commerce Department released a report on Thursday showing new orders for US manufactured durable goods tumbled by much more than expected in the month of February.The Commerce Department said durable goods orders slumped by 2.2 percent in February after jumping by …
Read More »Significance Of Lowest Jobless Claims Since 1969 For US Economy
US jobless claims set a more than 50-year low last week as the red-hot labour market shows few signs of cooling in the near-term. The Labour Department released its latest weekly jobless claims report Thursday. Jobless claims fell by 28,000. Initial jobless claims, week ended March 19: 187,000 versus. 210,000 …
Read More »Fed’s Evans: Can start balance sheet reduction and raise rates at the same meeting
Chicago Fed President Charles Evans said on Thursday that the Fed can begin its balance sheet reduction and raise interest rates in the same meeting, reported Reuters.The risk of slowing the economy into recession isn’t high, Evans said. The Fed won’t need asset sales until it is well into its …
Read More »Discussions On Interest Rate Hikes Continue In Washington
Is US Economy Entering A New Normal? Policymakers are wrestling with the reality that the pandemic may mark a turning point in the nation’s economic plot. The pandemic, and now the war in Ukraine, have altered how America’s economy functions. While economists have spent months waiting for conditions to return …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 23 March
The dollar featured mixed performance on Wednesday, as investors struggled to make something out of mostly worrisome headlines. Higher crude oil prices amid escalating tensions between Russia and western nations dented the market’s mood.Economic DataThe flash estimate of March Eurozone Consumer Confidence dropped to two year low at -18.7 in …
Read More »Fred’s Bullard: US economy will continue to grow above trend 2022-2023
St. Louis Federal Reserve President James Bullard, who on Friday called for a dramatic increase in the Fed’s overnight lending rate to more than 3% this year, is crossing the wires with the following comments dripping through:Key Qoutes: Russia’s war will mean less globalization, more fragmentation around the worldDirect macroeconomic …
Read More »