The US dollar has reclaimed 99.00 on expectation of strong US Services PMI on Tuesday. A preliminary estimate for the US Services PMI is 58 against the prior print of 56.5. Nearly 80% of the US economy revolves around services, which heightens attention around the US ISM services PMI as …
Read More »Oil tops $105 as supply worries persist
Oil prices topped $105 a barrel on Monday, as concerns persisted about tight supplies due to Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and a deal on Iran’s nuclear deal despite countries withdrawing from strategic oil reserves. The invasion of Ukraine in February sharply exacerbated already existing supply concerns and raised oil prices. …
Read More »Should Markets Panic? Why Could T-yields Be Recession Warning?
One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession is shining brighter. The yield curve is watched for clues to how the bond market is feeling about the US economy’s long-term prospects. Should Markets Panic?Fed Chair Jerome Powell would say no. Last week, he said that he pays …
Read More »US: ISM Manufacturing PMI falls to 57.1 in March
The headline ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Manager’s Index (PMI) figure fell to 57.1 in March from 58.6 in February, a miss against expectations for a small rise to 59.0, according to the latest release by the Institute for Supply Management (ISM). There was a sharp rise in the Price Paid subindex …
Read More »Oil is heading to record the largest weekly loss in two years
Oil prices fell on Friday, ahead of a meeting of member states of the International Energy Agency to discuss the withdrawal of strategic oil reserves, coinciding with a massive planned withdrawal of reserves in the United States. Brent crude and US West Texas Intermediate crude are heading for their biggest …
Read More »Oil plunges, global stocks fall as risk appetite flags
Global stocks fell on Thursday as recession concerns and the Russian-Ukranian war curbed demand for risky assets, while oil prices plunged over $5 on news that the United States may release some of its emergency oil reserves.With Thursday’s drop, US and European stocks are set for their worst quarterly performance …
Read More »Ahead of NFP Data, Bond Market Signaling Recession Warning
Everybody in the US and beyond is talking about the yield curve inversion. At one point yesterday the yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly traded above that of the 10-year. Historically, such an inversion has been an accurate predictor of a recession, typically within two years.Though these inversions in the …
Read More »USD/CAD slumps On Ukraine’s conflict, Higher Oil Prices
The USD/CAD pair extends its fall for the second straight day; after Monday’s price action printed a weekly high near the 1.2600 mark, the Canadian dollar strengthened on the back of high oil prices, amid a downbeat market mood, courtesy of recent developments in the Eastern Europe front. the USD/CAD …
Read More »Fed’s George: Must move ‘expeditiously’ away from easy policy stance
The $9 trillion balance sheet will need to decline significantly, Kansas City Fed president saysKansas City Fed President Esther George Daniel Brenner/BloombergThe Federal Reserve must more swiftly away from its current monetary policy stance that is as easy as it has ever been at a time when inflation is well …
Read More »Wells Fargo: US Economic Growth Was Strong At The End Of 2021
Data released on Wednesday, showed real GDP grew during the fourth quarter an annualized rate of 6.9%, below the 7% of previous estimates. According to analysts at Wells Fargo, the sequential rate of real GDP growth likely has downshifted in the first quarter of 2022, but it appears to have …
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