Atlanta Fed President and FOMC member Raphael Bostic on Tuesday reiterated the important of getting rates to neutral territory “expeditiously”, though cautioned that a 75 bps rate hike is “not on the radar”.Bostic said he estimates the neutral rate to be around 2.5% and feels the US economy is strong …
Read More »Bank Earnings Signal Dark Clouds Ahead
Wall Street’s biggest players have had a rough start to the year. All the biggest US banks saw negative profits in the first three months of 2022, ending a pandemic-era boom.Citi, Goldman Sachs, Morgan Stanley and Wells Fargo all announced large year-over-year profit declines in their first-quarter earnings reports Thursday, …
Read More »Could US Economy Stay Strong?
Since the outburst of the war in East Europe, markets have massively increased their expectations for key US interest rates. This can be seen, among other things, in the rise in the yield on the 2-year US Treasury bond by around 0.9%% in just a few weeks.The basis for this …
Read More »Kremlin aide: Russia’s imports fell sharply in March as Western companies pulled out
Kremlin aide Maxim Oreshkin was quoted by the RIA news agency as saying on Friday that Russian imports fell sharply in March due to logistical restrictions and the withdrawal of Western companies from the country. He expected the decline to reach “tens of percent”. The Russian current account surplus is …
Read More »Mester: Fed To Push Policy Quickly Enough To Contain Hot Inflation
Cleveland Fed President and FOMC member Loretta Mester said on Thursday that the Fed aims to reduce policy accommodation at the pace necessary to control inflation whilst also sustaining economic activity.Mester added that the Fed aims to bring demand into better balance with supply, whilst also sustaining the health of …
Read More »UoM Consumer Sentiment Index Rises Above Expectations
The preliminary estimate of the University of Michigan’s (UoM) Consumer Sentiment Index for April rose to 65.7 from 59.4 last month, above the expected reading of 59.0, data released on Thursday showed. The Consumer Expectations Index was also significantly stronger than expected at 64.1 versus forecasts for a reading of …
Read More »JPMorgan’s Dimon downbeat as profit drops 42%
JPMorgan Chase & Co’s (JPM.N) Chief Executive Jamie Dimon warned of economic uncertainties arising from Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and soaring inflation, after first-quarter profits at the largest US bank slumped 42%.JPMorgan had reported record profit during the first quarter last year, benefiting from a dealmaking boom after the Federal …
Read More »US annual CPI inflation rises to 8.5% in March
The annual rate of US inflation, as per the Consumer Price Index (CPI), came in at 8.5% in March, slightly the median economist forecast for a reading of 8.4% and higher versus February’s YoY rate of 7.9%. The MoM rate of inflation according to the CPI came in at 1.2% …
Read More »Oil rises after Shanghai ease Covid restrictions, OPEC warns of supply shortage
Oil prices rose on Tuesday as concerns about demand in China eased after Shanghai eased some restrictions related to the spread of the Covid-19 disease, while OPEC warned that it would be impossible to increase production enough to offset the loss of supplies from Russia. Brent crude futures rose $2.98, …
Read More »Oil below $100 due to withdrawals and fears of a closure in China
Oil prices fell by four dollars a barrel on Monday, falling below $100 a barrel, after countries announced plans to withdraw record amounts of crude and oil products from their strategic stocks and with continued shutdowns in China. Brent crude fell $3.93, or 3.8 percent, to $98.58 a barrel by …
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