Goldman Sachs, a leading investment bank, has recently revised its forecast for a U.S. recession, decreasing the probability to 20%. This adjustment follows a brief uptick in the likelihood after a weaker-than-expected July jobs report. However, subsequent economic indicators, including retail sales and jobless claims, have mitigated concerns about an …
Read More »Dollar Braces for Key Data on Potential Rate Cut Risks
The U.S. dollar found itself in a holding pattern on Tuesday as investors awaited key U.S. economic data that could influence the likelihood of significant interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, a rally in Japanese stocks provided some relief for the yen, particularly for those engaged in yen carry trades. The dollar …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, August 12
As investors warmed up ahead of important US data releases, which would undoubtedly affect expectations on a rate decrease by the Fed and provide additional information on the state of the US economy, global markets moved within a consolidative trend. Forex Space: Within the 103.20 zone, the USD Index (DXY) …
Read More »US Dollar defends its ground ahead of CPI
Despite geopolitical unrest, the US dollar is still strong, and Fed policymakers continue to have optimistic views of the US labor market despite worries about sluggish job creation. The market sticks to its projections from the previous week, with September being the most likely month for the first rate cut …
Read More »Behind the Curtains: Likely Bidenexit Matters for US Economy
About 29 Democrats in the House are calling for US President Joe Biden to step down. However, some top Democrats privately believe that the rising pressure of party congressional leaders and close friends will persuade Biden to quit the presidential race as soon as this weekend. The 81-year-old president remains …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, July 8
The new trading week began with some respectable gains for the dollar, which shed some of its NFP-related weakness and gained some new momentum in reaction to the risk complex’s widespread knee-jerk. While this was going on, investors were processing the results of the French snap elections and progressively turned …
Read More »US Dollar looks for catalysts ahead of CPI data, Powell’s testimony
the US Dollar was down 0.80% last week, now at lowest level since mid-June. Anticipation builds with the upcoming release of the June inflation figures and Fed talks.Market is pricing in less than 10% odds of a cut in July and around 80% in September. The US Dollar continues to …
Read More »Wall Street’s rally fatigued for the first time in a week
US stocks remained near the flatline on Friday as a tech-led rally showed signs of fatigue for the first time in over a week. The benchmark S&P 500 shed nearly 0.2%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average remained virtually unchanged. Nvidia, which briefly became …
Read More »US stocks climb as rate cut hopes defy cautious Fed
The Dow Jones Index has seen slight gains on Monday, climbing four-tenths of a percent as investors recover balance and resume the long wait for rate cuts from the Federal Reserve. The ‘bad news is good news’ sentiment has fueled investor sentiment seeking an accelerated pace of rate cuts from …
Read More »How do Biden and Trump’s Teams Tackle Business Concerns, Aspirations?
The Biden and Trump teams are expected to engage in a long-distance economic showdown on Thursday, as both sides try to sell corporate America on their vision for 2025 and beyond. Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen will defend President Biden’s approach at the Economic Club of New York, where she will …
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