The market is still overestimating Fed easing even while the Fed is defying dovish expectations. S&P Global preliminary September PMIs came in above forecasts, indicating that the economy is still doing well. Fed representatives will make an effort to temper their dovish remarks. Amidst growing concerns of a recession, the …
Read More »Trump slams Fed’s rate cut decision
Following the half-percentage-point interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve less than two months before the November election, Republican presidential nominee Donald Trump is not holding back in his criticism of the institution. In an interview with Newsmax on Thursday, the former president stated, “It really is a political move.” …
Read More »What Signal Does FedEx’s Earnings Miss Convey About US Economy?
The recent earnings report from FedEx has sent shockwaves through the financial markets, raising serious concerns about the health of the broader economy. The company, often considered a bellwether for the US and global economies, has reported weaker-than-expected results, primarily due to a decline in industrial shipments. This article will …
Read More »Powell speech: 50 bps move is a commitment to us not falling behind
Fed Chair Jerome Powell explains the decision to cut the policy rate, federal funds rate, by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5% after the September meeting and responds to questions in the post-meeting press conference.Key quotes:“Housing market is frozen in part due to higher rates.”“As rates come home, …
Read More »Obviously Dovish Fed Chair Hints: It’s Time For Interest Rate Cut
Despite his refusal to give precise timing or extent hints, Fed Chair Jerome Powell set the foundation for future interest rate reductions on Friday. During the Fed’s annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, the Chair of the Board of Directors declared, “The time has come for policy to adjust.” This …
Read More »Analyzing Goldman Sachs’ Revised US Recession Outlook
Goldman Sachs, a leading investment bank, has recently revised its forecast for a U.S. recession, decreasing the probability to 20%. This adjustment follows a brief uptick in the likelihood after a weaker-than-expected July jobs report. However, subsequent economic indicators, including retail sales and jobless claims, have mitigated concerns about an …
Read More »Dollar Braces for Key Data on Potential Rate Cut Risks
The U.S. dollar found itself in a holding pattern on Tuesday as investors awaited key U.S. economic data that could influence the likelihood of significant interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, a rally in Japanese stocks provided some relief for the yen, particularly for those engaged in yen carry trades. The dollar …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, August 12
As investors warmed up ahead of important US data releases, which would undoubtedly affect expectations on a rate decrease by the Fed and provide additional information on the state of the US economy, global markets moved within a consolidative trend. Forex Space: Within the 103.20 zone, the USD Index (DXY) …
Read More »US Dollar defends its ground ahead of CPI
Despite geopolitical unrest, the US dollar is still strong, and Fed policymakers continue to have optimistic views of the US labor market despite worries about sluggish job creation. The market sticks to its projections from the previous week, with September being the most likely month for the first rate cut …
Read More »Behind the Curtains: Likely Bidenexit Matters for US Economy
About 29 Democrats in the House are calling for US President Joe Biden to step down. However, some top Democrats privately believe that the rising pressure of party congressional leaders and close friends will persuade Biden to quit the presidential race as soon as this weekend. The 81-year-old president remains …
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