Fed Chair Jerome Powell explains the decision to cut the policy rate, federal funds rate, by 50 basis points to the range of 4.75%-5% after the September meeting and responds to questions in the post-meeting press conference.Key quotes:“Housing market is frozen in part due to higher rates.”“As rates come home, …
Read More »Obviously Dovish Fed Chair Hints: It’s Time For Interest Rate Cut
Despite his refusal to give precise timing or extent hints, Fed Chair Jerome Powell set the foundation for future interest rate reductions on Friday. During the Fed’s annual retreat in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, the Chair of the Board of Directors declared, “The time has come for policy to adjust.” This …
Read More »Analyzing Goldman Sachs’ Revised US Recession Outlook
Goldman Sachs, a leading investment bank, has recently revised its forecast for a U.S. recession, decreasing the probability to 20%. This adjustment follows a brief uptick in the likelihood after a weaker-than-expected July jobs report. However, subsequent economic indicators, including retail sales and jobless claims, have mitigated concerns about an …
Read More »Dollar Braces for Key Data on Potential Rate Cut Risks
The U.S. dollar found itself in a holding pattern on Tuesday as investors awaited key U.S. economic data that could influence the likelihood of significant interest rate cuts. Meanwhile, a rally in Japanese stocks provided some relief for the yen, particularly for those engaged in yen carry trades. The dollar …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, August 12
As investors warmed up ahead of important US data releases, which would undoubtedly affect expectations on a rate decrease by the Fed and provide additional information on the state of the US economy, global markets moved within a consolidative trend. Forex Space: Within the 103.20 zone, the USD Index (DXY) …
Read More »US Dollar defends its ground ahead of CPI
Despite geopolitical unrest, the US dollar is still strong, and Fed policymakers continue to have optimistic views of the US labor market despite worries about sluggish job creation. The market sticks to its projections from the previous week, with September being the most likely month for the first rate cut …
Read More »Behind the Curtains: Likely Bidenexit Matters for US Economy
About 29 Democrats in the House are calling for US President Joe Biden to step down. However, some top Democrats privately believe that the rising pressure of party congressional leaders and close friends will persuade Biden to quit the presidential race as soon as this weekend. The 81-year-old president remains …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, July 8
The new trading week began with some respectable gains for the dollar, which shed some of its NFP-related weakness and gained some new momentum in reaction to the risk complex’s widespread knee-jerk. While this was going on, investors were processing the results of the French snap elections and progressively turned …
Read More »US Dollar looks for catalysts ahead of CPI data, Powell’s testimony
the US Dollar was down 0.80% last week, now at lowest level since mid-June. Anticipation builds with the upcoming release of the June inflation figures and Fed talks.Market is pricing in less than 10% odds of a cut in July and around 80% in September. The US Dollar continues to …
Read More »Wall Street’s rally fatigued for the first time in a week
US stocks remained near the flatline on Friday as a tech-led rally showed signs of fatigue for the first time in over a week. The benchmark S&P 500 shed nearly 0.2%, while the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite lost 0.2%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average remained virtually unchanged. Nvidia, which briefly became …
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