Navigating by the seat of their pants – that’s a less charitable way to characterize the Federal Reserve’s recently professed reliance on real-time data for policy decisions. While we could extend some acknowledgement to Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his team, it’s apparent that the central bank is gently decelerating …
Read More »Gold price meets support ahead of US inflation data
The US economy is absorbing the effects of higher interest rates with ease, and the US Dollar gains in appeal. Investor caution ahead of August Consumer Price Index data in the US is putting pressure on the price of gold, as a sharp rise in petrol costs suggests that headline …
Read More »Why do Fed’s economists expect low inflation, no recession, positive growth?
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago economists forecast that inflation will decline without pushing the US economy into a recession. They also described a Goldilocks scenario for a soft landing in a recent study. Inflation may fall below 2% by next year, negating the need for any rate increases.Stefania D’Amico and …
Read More »Gold’s appeal worsens following US labour data
Even if other countries are suffering from the effects of tight monetary policy, the US economy is nevertheless robust. The US service sector is experiencing strong demand, which would allow the Federal Reserve to keep the door open for additional policy tightening. In comparison to estimates and the previous report …
Read More »China’s economic woes lead to a shift in global image
With the country’s economy growing at an annual pace just above 3.5% in the second quarter. This is far from the 9.9% rate it averaged over its first three decades of economic reform. The country’s aging labour force is shrinking, and President Xi Jinping emphasizes loyalty to the Communist Party …
Read More »US: Real GDP grows at an annual rate of 2.1% in Q2
The US economy grew at an annual pace of 2.1% in the second quarter, falling short of the earlier estimate of 2.4%. According to the Bureau of Economic Analysis, “the updated estimates primarily reflected downward revisions to private inventory investment and nonresidential fixed investment, which were partially offset by an …
Read More »Could China’s slowdown throw US economy into recession?
What happens in China doesn’t just stay in China. Flooding in northeastern China has caused numerous deaths and severe damage to infrastructure, homes, and crops. President Xi Jinping urges action to reduce damage. At least 90 rivers have risen beyond alert threshold, with 24 already flooded. Local governments must prioritize …
Read More »Dollar is near the highest level in 4 weeks, thanks to the strength of the US economy
The dollar settled near the highest level in four weeks on Thursday, indifferent to the downgrade of the US credit rating, which cast a shadow over the financial outlook for the United States, and benefiting from strong data for jobs in the private sector. Data on Wednesday showed that US …
Read More »Dollar is falling after the downgrade of the credit rating of the United States
The dollar fell on Wednesday after Fitch’s decision to downgrade the credit rating of the United States raised questions about the country’s fiscal outlook, but got some support from a series of relatively strong economic data. On Tuesday, Fitch lowered the US rating to AA+ from AAA, in a move …
Read More »US Dollar weakens ahead of US employment data
The US dollar has slightly declined in value after significant gains against major currencies last week. However, the USD Index remains above 101.50, exactly reads 101.75 at the time of writing. This week’s high-level data releases, including the US jobs report, could affect the USD’s performance. The US economy grew …
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