According to the US Bureau of Labour Statistics, there were 8.827 million job opportunities in July, far fewer than the predicted 9.465 million, while consumer confidence declined. The probability of a Fed rate hike in September has decreased to just 13.5%, according to the CME FedWatch Tool, while the probability …
Read More »Dollar is stable ahead of a busy week of data and yen is under pressure
The dollar fell on Tuesday, after a strong rally, amid dealers’ reluctance to make big bets ahead of a series of expected economic data this week, while the Japanese yen fell to close to the levels that led the authorities to intervene to support it last year. The dollar fell …
Read More »US NFP data outlook for August looks uncertain
The US nonfarm jobs data for August is expected on Friday, with bond market investors seeking a reprieve from higher long-term rates. The August employment report showed the economy added fewer jobs than expected, but solid wage gains and a declining unemployment rate to 3.5% pointed to continued tightness in …
Read More »USD is fluctuating amid expectations to keep interest rates high for a longer period
The dollar retreated slightly from a 12-week level on Monday, August 28, as investors assessed the path of US monetary policy after US Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell left the door open to the possibility of further interest rate hikes. In a highly anticipated speech at the annual financial policy …
Read More »US Dollar Index Climbs on Powell’s Hawkish Stance
Following Powell’s hawkish comments, DXY increased by 0.18%, signaling a higher dollar relative to six major currencies. With ambiguous Treasury yield curve signals and conflicting official opinions, a 25-bps rate hike in November has a 46.7% chance of happening, which defies past Fed projections.The US Dollar Index (DXY), a gauge …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, August 24
All key financial assets, including Thursday’s firmer US dollar, await Fed’s Powell speech on Friday before the Jackson Hole Symposium. Volatility is expected, and it could lead to sharp moves across financial markets.All eyes are on the Kansas City Fed’s Jackson Hole Symposium. On Friday, ECB’s Lagarde and the Fed’s …
Read More »GBP/USD experiences losses amid risk aversion
The GBP/USD pair experienced a 0.12% loss due to high US Treasury bond yields and global trade apprehensions. US Existing Home Sales dropped 2.2% in July, with limited inventory and high mortgage rates cited as causes. The Richmond Fed’s Manufacturing Index met expectations with -7, while the Services Index surprised …
Read More »Fed’s Barkin: Won’t prejudge outcome of Fed’s September policy meeting
Thomas Barkin, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond has emphasized the need for the Fed to be open to the possibility of the US economy reaccelerating rather than slowing, which could have implications for the central bank’s inflation fight. The US Dollar Index clings to daily gains above …
Read More »Market Drivers- US Session, August 18
The Yen and the Swiss Franc were among the top performers due to risk aversion and the retreat in government bond yields. The Japanese Yen finished marginally higher above 145.00, while the Swiss Franc gained for the fifth consecutive week. The Pound was the biggest gainer, supported by UK economic …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, August 17
With surging Treasury yields and risk aversion, the US dollar keeps getting stronger. Nearing 103.50, the DXY index climbed to its highest point since June and extended its winning streak to five days. The momentum of the dollar is still strong notwithstanding this rebound.According to the FOMC minutes, several members …
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