While financial markets gear up for a relatively busy year, there persists a state of severe disagreement about the forces driving longer-term interest rates.The range of forecasts for the yield on the 10-year Treasury one year from now is below 3% to above 5%. The yield outlook is mostly dependent …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, January 9, 2024
“The SEC’s @SECGov X/Twitter account has been compromised. The unauthorized tweet regarding bitcoin ETFs was not made by the SEC or its staff,” an SEC spokesperson told US media outlets. A false social media post said that the SEC had approved bitcoin ETFs for trading. The price of bitcoin briefly …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, January 4, 2024
After a solid start to the new trading year, the dollar has declined. During Asian trading hours, investors are predicted to maintain their vigilance, paying particular attention to the Consumer Confidence index and the final Services PMI in Japan. Ahead of the US Nonfarm Payrolls for December, caution is anticipated …
Read More »Swiss Franc weakens against the US Dollar on first 2024’s trading
On first 2024’s trading, the Swiss franc starts losing ground against the US dollar as the latter strengthened due to rising Treasury yields. This implies that bond traders might be indicating that they believe the inflation outlook will be more difficult than anticipated. Higher US Treasury rates, which have increased …
Read More »Dollar begins 2024 with a rise, and Bitcoin exceeds $45,000
On the first trading day of the new year, the dollar saw an increase in value as investors turned their attention to upcoming economic data that could provide insights into the Federal Reserve’s future moves. Bitcoin also experienced a rise, exceeding $45,000 for the first time since April 2022. In …
Read More »Bets for a rate cut in 2024 are pressuring USD to end the year on a losing note
As the year 2023 draws to a close, the US dollar faces the prospect of ending the year with a significant loss, erasing gains from two consecutive years. Market sentiment is shaped by expectations that the Federal Reserve may initiate interest rate cuts by March 2024, contributing to the dollar’s …
Read More »US dollar nosedives in last few trading days before 2024
Thursday saw a sharp decline in the value of the US dollar following the Richmond Manufacturing Index. The US bond market is witnessing significant purchasing while the equity markets remain stable.After the US opening bell, the US Dollar Index has experienced a wild ride and is almost flat. On Thursday, …
Read More »USD declines against JPY and compensates for its losses against EUR
The US dollar witnessed divergent movements against key currencies on Thursday, recovering from early losses against the euro while facing a decline against the Japanese yen. Investors are closely monitoring signals from the Federal Reserve, expecting a potential interest rate cut in the coming year. Dollar Index Performance: The dollar …
Read More »Gold price leaps high on dovish Fed bets, deteriorating US yields
Gold was trading closely to the $2,070 level, registering strong gains, on early Thursday the precious metal is trading at $2086.45 per ounce. Markets project as many as six Fed rate hikes in 2024, which shook down the US Treasury yields.US Jobless Claims on Thursday may fuel further volatility in …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, Dec. 22
The Dow Jones reached all-time highs, while US Treasury yields moved lower. The 10-year settlement was around 3.90%, the lowest since July. The US Dollar Index fell for the second week in a row, falling to monthly lows below 102.00. Market repricing expectations from the Fed in 2024 keep the …
Read More »