Tag Archives: recession

As of next January, a recession is predicted to hit the US economy as investment and production decline. According to a press release from the Conference Board, the Leading Economic Index (LEI) fell 0.8% in October and 3.3% over the previous six months, marking the 19th consecutive m-o-m decline. The …

“I may support holding rates for about 8 to 10 months”, Atlanta Fed’s Raphael Bostic said on Friday. Bostic added that monetary policy is in the right place given the economic outlook. He added he may support holding interest rates steady for about 8 to ten months. Bostic also mentioned …

As the Middle East conflict heats up again, WTI Crude Oil is back up the daily charts. Requests for a cease-fire so that civilians could receive humanitarian aid were turned down.EIA barrel counts increased more than anticipated, and as geopolitical concerns accelerate, demand concerns will affect the price of crude …

When the Fed raises interest rates and the yield curve inverts, someone will inevitably push the “big red button.” But this is also where the media is wrong about the 1995 “soft landing” scenario. The economy didn’t “soften” in 1995; crisis events did. But more importantly, when the yield curve …

US Treasury Secretary Janet Yellen said on Wednesday that the ceiling imposed by the Group of Seven major industrialized countries on Russian oil prices led to a sharp decline in Russia’s revenues over the past 10 months. She added in statements prepared for a press conference on the sidelines of …

The US dollar had a substantial increase in momentum on Monday as risk appetite across the board decreased and uneasy investors piled into the USD. Just below 1.3680, the USD/CAD pair is rounding into the midway of the US trading session.The Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) for Canadian Manufacturing fell on …

The final reading of America’s gross domestic product revealed that the economy grew by about 2.1%, which is the same levels as the second reading. The US economy grew by about 2.2% in the first quarter of this year and by 6.2% in the second quarter of 2022. The data …

Navigating by the seat of their pants – that’s a less charitable way to characterize the Federal Reserve’s recently professed reliance on real-time data for policy decisions. While we could extend some acknowledgement to Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his team, it’s apparent that the central bank is gently decelerating …

Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago economists forecast that inflation will decline without pushing the US economy into a recession. They also described a Goldilocks scenario for a soft landing in a recent study. Inflation may fall below 2% by next year, negating the need for any rate increases.Stefania D’Amico and …

After losing for a second week in a row, the NZD/USD pair is trading unchanged at 0.5933. Following hawkish FOMC minutes, US Treasury yields are slightly rising. According to RBNZ Governor Orr, a slight recession is necessary.The NZD/USD traded with little losses near 0.5930 on Thursday. On the one hand, …