Tag Archives: recession

The United States economy is facing several threats, including the war in Ukraine, high prices, painful grocery bills, spiking gasoline prices, troubled supply chains, laggard recovery from the pandemic, and rising interest rates that some economists look upon as a cause of slowdown and a hindrance of growth.Biden’s White House …

Economic growth will likely slow but it is expected to remain stay positive. It is too early to talk about the risk of a recession in the US, where growth is likely to remain positive for the near future even as it slows down, according to the International Monetary Fund’s …

One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession is shining brighter. The yield curve is watched for clues to how the bond market is feeling about the US economy’s long-term prospects. Should Markets Panic?Fed Chair Jerome Powell would say no. Last week, he said that he pays …

The USD/JPY recovers after dipping 350-pips in the week, rallying above the 122.00 mark on a buoyant market sentiment and the stronger US dollar, lifted by solid US macroeconomic data and prospects of the Federal Reserve hiking rates by 50-bps in the May meeting. The USD/JPY pair is trading at …

Everybody in the US and beyond is talking about the yield curve inversion. At one point yesterday the yield on the 2-year Treasury briefly traded above that of the 10-year. Historically, such an inversion has been an accurate predictor of a recession, typically within two years.Though these inversions in the …

The S&P 500 rose for a third day on Monday, as a sharp climb in shares of Tesla overshadowed weakness in energy and bank stocks, while Russia and Ukraine were poised to hold their first face-to-face peace talks in more than two weeks.The S&P energy index (.SPNY), off 2.56%, was …

US central bank policymakers have made it clear that they will do what it takes to control inflation. They are betting on a soft landing, but a bumpy one is still a risk.Jerome Powell, the Federal Reserve chair, emphasized this week that the central bank he leads could succeed in …

Brussels agrees on more military aid for Ukraine, but no new sanctions. Activists have made a joint call for a European embargo on Russian oil, gas and coal, as thousands prepare for protests against continued hostilities around the world.On the other hand, Germany’s Olaf Scholz warns immediate Russian energy ban …

A sharp selloff in US Treasuries eased on Wednesday as the market tries to come to grips with how the Federal Reserve might address rising inflation without hiking interest rates at such a clip it spins the economy into recession.Yields were lower across the curve, from two-year notes out to …

Soaring energy prices raised recession alarm bells around the world. But another economic indicator is starting to look threatening: The yield curve is flattening. Wall Street closely watches the difference, or spread, between short-term government bond yields, most notably the 2-year Treasury, and longer-term bond rates like the 10-year Treasury.As …