US consumer sentiment slumped to a six-month low in May on worries that political haggling over raising the federal government’s borrowing cap could trigger a recession. The University of Michigan’s survey also showed consumers’ long-term inflation expectations jumping this month to their highest reading since 2011, bad news for the …
Read More »US Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: the possibility of a surprise
After Fed Chair Powell’s remarks on Capitol Hill last Tuesday, there is a great deal of anticipation around the impending NFP statistics. Powell effectively stated that if economic data came in far above forecasts, the Fed would raise interest rates by 50 basis points at its next meeting. He emphasised …
Read More »US inflation declines only slowly, Fed cannot be satisfied
These are undoubtedly the beliefs of some investors, who ignore slight increases in annual inflation rates because they believe the downward trend will continue. That means that markets are in a risk-on mode. The Core Consumer Price Index (Core CPI), which increased by 0.4% MoM in January as predicted, is …
Read More »US CPI Preview: Forecasts from four major banks
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics will release the Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures for January on Tuesday, February 14 at 13:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of 12 major banks regarding the upcoming US inflation …
Read More »How could USD React to January’s NFP Data?
On Friday, the US will release the official employment report for January. Some analysts expect a 220K increase in payroll and a modest increase in the unemployment rate to 3.6%. Other expectations suggest 185,000 rise in Nonfarm Payrolls data following the 223,000 increase in December. The first US NFP report …
Read More »Wall Street Performs Mixedly On Inflation Report
Stocks are having a mixed performance on Friday as traders looked to close out an awful week that brought the S&P 500 to a new 2022 low. The S&P 500 was up 0.55%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average gained 52 points, or 0.18%, while the Nasdaq Composite was 1.02% higher. …
Read More »Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement
The Federal Reserve System published a press release on the official website including the FOMC Meeting statement. The statement reads as follows: “Recent indicators of spending and production have softened. Nonetheless, job gains have been robust in recent months, and the unemployment rate has remained low. Inflation remains elevated, reflecting …
Read More »US New Home Sales Fall Below Expectations
Home purchases, in the United States, dropped 8.1% in June to an annualized 590,000 rate. The number of homes sold awaiting start is at the highest level since January 2022.Sales of new US homes fell for the fifth time this year in June to a more than two-year low. There …
Read More »Explainer: Has America Fallen Into A Recession?
Has America fallen into a recession? This is a question that is becoming too difficult to ignore as the twin upheaval of inflation and recession is looming over asset portfolios, household budgets and pocket books. US prices in June rose the most since 1981. And the expectation of a recession …
Read More »Gold Retreats On Stronger USD
Gold prices fell on Friday, July 15, and remained on track for the fifth consecutive weekly decline, as the continued rise in the dollar and fears of a sharp rise in US interest rates affected the demand for bullion. And the price of gold in spot transactions fell 0.3% to …
Read More »