On Monday, the US dollar surged to its highest level in eight weeks against major currencies as traders recalibrated their expectations for significant interest rate cuts by the Federal Reserve this year. The robust performance of the US economy, coupled with a stronger-than-expected jobs report, contributed to the dollar’s ascent. …
Read More »The Global Financial Pulse – Weekly Recap
The past week proved to be a rollercoaster for global financial markets, dominated by pivotal events that shaped the economic landscape. From the Evergrande saga to pivotal interest rate decisions and robust US job data, here’s a comprehensive breakdown of the week that was. American Interest – The Fed’s Pause …
Read More »Dollar advances as traders abandon rate cut hopes in March
The DXY Index rallied by over 0.80% to 103.90 on Friday, with US Nonfarm Payrolls surpassing expectations for January. US bond yields are increasing as markets push towards May’s start of the easing cycle.Fed Chair Powell confirmed that a March rate cut is unlikely despite market speculation, and the bank …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session, January 31
US treasuries rallied on Wednesday, owing to slower-than-expected hiring and a surprising loss from New York Community Bancorp, heightening concerns about the sustainability of US regional lenders. New York Community Bancorp wrote down poor bad estate loans, dropping its shares 36% and pushing down regional bank share values across the …
Read More »Wall Street closes lower following FOMC decision
US stocks experienced a decline on the last trading day in January, as the Federal Reserve held interest rates steady and drew hopes for an interest rate cut as soon as March. The three major US stock indexes were already weighed down by weakness in tech and tech-adjacent megacap stocks …
Read More »Gold slides below $2040 following Powell’s comments
Fed Chair Jerome Powell has signaled potential rate cuts based on economic progress, stating that there is no rush to change existing monetary policy. The Gold Index has reacted to Powell’s rejection of bets on a March rate cut and emphasis on a cautious approach to managing inflation. Gold prices …
Read More »Powell: Rate cuts looming, but Fed persistent in avoiding inflation risks
Fed Chairman Jerome Powell quickly summed up where the central bank stands. “We believe our policy rate is likely at its peak for this tightening cycle and that, if the economy evolves broadly as expected, it will likely be appropriate to begin dialing back policy restraint at some point this …
Read More »Does PCE data make Fed’s job easier or harder?
The Fed’s favourite inflation gauge; Core Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index has fallen below 3% for the first time since March 2021, indicating that US inflation is cooling. The three-month and six-month charts of the core PCE show they are below the Fed’s target of 2%. This suggests the Fed …
Read More »GBP/USD weakening as investors focus on US data
The GBP/USD pair has not recovered much after Tuesday’s steep drop, but it is currently trading around 1.2644. This week’s UK data is scarce as investors prioritize US labour and economic activity data. Leading the way is the US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index, whose December PMI surpassed forecasts but …
Read More »Dollar declines amid increasing possibilities of a US interest rate cut
The dollar is on track to record its largest weekly decline against other major currencies since July, affected by the increasing possibility of a cut in US interest rates next year, while the euro and the pound received support on Friday as central banks in Europe continue their tendency to …
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