As investors await the Reserve Bank of Australia’s next monetary policy decision, the AUD/USD pair recovers to 0.6460s, up 0.26%. A weaker US Dollar is caused by mixed US jobs data and Wall Street’s closure for Labour Day; the probability of a Fed rate hike in September remains at 92%. …
Read More »Fed Officials Care Most To How Restrictive Policy Needs To Be, For How Long
Loretta J. Mester, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Cleveland, stated on Friday, following the NFP report, that the job market remains strong despite signs of rebalancing. She downplayed the increase in the Unemployment Rate to 3.8%, stating that this level “is still low.”Speaking at an event in Germany, …
Read More »Fed’s Collins suggests US central bank can hold steady
Susan Collins of the Fed indicated on Thursday that the US central bank may be in a position where it doesn’t need to hike rates once more, while she left the door open for further action. These remarks had no immediate response from the US Dollar Index, which was last …
Read More »Fed’s Barkin: Won’t prejudge outcome of Fed’s September policy meeting
Thomas Barkin, President of the Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond has emphasized the need for the Fed to be open to the possibility of the US economy reaccelerating rather than slowing, which could have implications for the central bank’s inflation fight. The US Dollar Index clings to daily gains above …
Read More »GBP/USD retreats after soft UK retail sales data
UK Retail Sales for July are looked upon as disappointing with a -1.2% MoM drop, surpassing the anticipated -0.5% decline. Strong UK GDP readings and high wages keep BoE rate hike expectations alive, with a 6% peak on the Bank Rate anticipated.Nevertheless, strong readings on UK GDP and steadily high …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 12/06/23
US equities opened the trading week with positive performance ahead of key US economic data and monetary policy events. Markets cheered the possibility of the Fed’s ending its rate hike cycle. Incoming economic data will be crucial, with the CPI reading, in particular.The Dow Jones gained 0.56% and the Nasdaq …
Read More »AUD/USD rallies post RBA policy meeting
The AUD/USD pair rallied to the highest since mid-May following the RBA’s policy meeting that unexpectedly raised interest rates. The cash rate was at an 11-year high of 4.1% earlier on the day. At the time of writing, the pair is trading at 0.6672. This development leaves the technical outlook …
Read More »Fed Chair to testify before Senate June 22
Fed Chair Jerome Powell will testify at the U.S. Senate Banking Committee on June 22, panel chief Sherrod Brown said on Friday. The testimony will come a week after the June 13-14 FOMC meeting. The testimony marks the second iteration of the Fed chair’s twice-yearly reports to Congress on the …
Read More »Fed’s Bullard: Prospects for continued disinflation are good but continued vigilance is required
Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard recently published an analysis titled ‘Is Monetary Policy Sufficiently Restrictive?’ in which he compares the policy rate under the Taylor rule to the Fed’s policy rate. According to Bullard, “monetary policy is now in better shape after the rate hikes.” Bullard’s …
Read More »US Core PCE inflation rises to 4.7% vs. 4.6% expected
The change in the Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) Price Index in the United States increased to 4.4% on an annual basis in April, up from 4.2% in March, according to the US Bureau of Economic Analysis on Friday. This number was higher than the market’s forecast of 3.9%. The annual …
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