One of the more reliable warning signals for an economic recession is shining brighter. The yield curve is watched for clues to how the bond market is feeling about the US economy’s long-term prospects. Should Markets Panic?Fed Chair Jerome Powell would say no. Last week, he said that he pays …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 30 March
Financial markets on Wednesday remained focused on the the continued weakening of the US dollar, where the DXY dropped a further 0.6% to the 97.80s, where it now probes mid-March lows more than 1.5% below earlier weekly highs. Economic DataPrivate sector employment in the US rose by 455,000 in March, …
Read More »USD/JPY Steadies Ahead of the BOJ’s Bond-Buying Wrap-Up, Subdued US GDP
The USD/JPY pair is hesitating in a narrow range of 121.32-122.24 as a broad-based buying in the Japanese yen is likely to over after the conclusion of the unlimited bond-buying program by the Bank of Japan. The four-day bond-buying program of the BOJ will conclude on Thursday. To curtail the …
Read More »US ADP Employment Expectations As Job Creation Slows Down
While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …
Read More »US Stocks Gain Momentum In Last Hour Trading
US stocks rose on Tuesday, with the Dow and S&P notching their fourth straight session of gains, on optimism some progress was being made toward a deal to resolve the conflict between Russia and Ukraine.Russia pledged to cut down on military operations around Kyiv and in northern Ukraine, while Ukraine …
Read More »ECB’s Vasle: Interest rate hike this year feasible
European Central Bank Governing Council member Bostjan Vasle on Tuesday said that an interest rate hike this year is feasible, reported newswires. It would be prudent for the ECB not to increase current uncertainties, he added, noting the important of monetary policy predictability. Markets did not immediately react to Vasle’s …
Read More »Fed’s Harker: Interest rate hikes deliberate, methodical
Philadelphia Fed President and FOMC member Patrick Harker said on Tuesday that interest rate hikes are to be “deliberate” and “methodical”. Inflation is “far higher than … we are comfortable with” Harker said, caveating that “there are some signs in the data, and in what we hear from our contacts, …
Read More »Weekly Recap – 21-25 March
Geopolitics continued to impact the economic outlook throughout the previous week. Christine Lagarde emphasized the punitive measures were designed to target the regime, not the Russian people, while new “fiscal remedies are still needed” to stabilize Europe’s economy.Russia’s invasion of Ukraine on 24 February has fundamentally brought about deep economic …
Read More »Canadian dollar gains for 9th day on favorable yield spreads
The Canadian dollar gains against the USD. It was trading 0.4% higher at 1.2477 to the USD, or 80.15 US cents, after touching its strongest intraday level since Jan. 20 at 1.2471. It was the ninth consecutive day of gains for the Canadian currency, which is the longest winning streak …
Read More »Official: ECB Won’t surrender to inflation
The first ECB’s interest rate hike may come this year according to Estonian central bank chief Madis Müller. The ECB will stop its bond purchases earlier than expected. Russia’s attack on Ukraine will diminish growth prospects but not the European Central Bank’s efforts to fight inflation.The comments from Governing Council …
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