The EUR/USD reaches 1.0746, surging over 0.50% from its opening price, following a weekly low of 1.0635. Weakening US manufacturing activity, as indicated by the ISM Manufacturing PMI falling to 46.9 in May, fuels speculation of a Fed pause on tightening.Mixed employment data shows private hiring surging but falling short …
Read More »US Nonfarm Payrolls Preview: the possibility of a surprise
After Fed Chair Powell’s remarks on Capitol Hill last Tuesday, there is a great deal of anticipation around the impending NFP statistics. Powell effectively stated that if economic data came in far above forecasts, the Fed would raise interest rates by 50 basis points at its next meeting. He emphasised …
Read More »Fed’s Powell: Overall data on labour market shows it is extremely tight
Fed Chair Jerome Powell is delivering his bi-annual testimony before the US Senate. He presents the Monetary Policy Report before the Q&A session with senators. The US dollar, stock markets as well as all other asset could be on the move with Powell’s words. The US Dollar’s bullish rally remains …
Read More »What kind of hikes could be potential following FOMC Minutes?
Two more 25 bps rate hikes in March and May could result in a terminal 5.00%-5.25% by May. The FOMC meeting minutes provided additional information about the Fed’s committee’s decision to hike rates by 25 bps in February. Economists are now looking forward to a 5.25% terminal rate at the …
Read More »Fed’s Barkin: Slow Progress on Inflation Suggesting Additional Hikes
A top Fed official is downplaying recent signs that the US economy is strengthening, but also noted that he is willing to accept raising interest rates in smaller increments as often as needed to quell inflation Fed’s Thomas Barkin said Friday that recent data showing an unusually robust job gain …
Read More »Fitch Expects Weaker US Labour Demand On Interest Rate Hikes
The US labour demand will weaken on rising interest rates, south-dominated jobs recovery according to Fitch Ratings. Fitch Ratings expects the US labour market to weaken as aggregate demand stagnates over the course of the year in response to the lagged effects of higher interest rates, according to a new …
Read More »How could USD React to January’s NFP Data?
On Friday, the US will release the official employment report for January. Some analysts expect a 220K increase in payroll and a modest increase in the unemployment rate to 3.6%. Other expectations suggest 185,000 rise in Nonfarm Payrolls data following the 223,000 increase in December. The first US NFP report …
Read More »Breaking: Biden Warns “Inflation Will Take Time” To Recede
US President Joe Biden cautioned on Friday that ““it’s going to take time to get inflation back down to normal levels.”, but he assured that legislation he signed earlier this year will help limit costs for health care and energy.However, he said that “in six short weeks, Americans are going …
Read More »Fed’s Beige Book predicts future US economic slowdown
The Fed’s Beige Book has noted that US economic activity is still under pressure and that “the outlook for future economic growth remained generally weak”.The Fed released its latest summary of feedback from business contacts nationwide as policymakers are considering whether to proceed with a third straight 75-basis-point interest rate …
Read More »Looming NFP Data Could Mean Choppy US Stocks Trading
The major US index futures are currently pointing to a roughly flat open on Thursday, with stocks likely to show a lack of direction following the rally seen in the previous session.The S&P 500 has gone back and forth during the US session, sitting below the 200 day EMA, as …
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