China’s economy is seen as more sustainable because it is deflating its bubbles and raising productivity, while the US is doing the opposite – feeding the Bernanke bubble and hoping for an AI cure for falling productivity. The “twin cancers” plaguing China’s economy are a property bubble plus a shadow …
Read More »EUR/GBP softer ahead of key economic data
A downward trend is observed in the EUR/GBP ahead of Tuesday’s key data points. After a consistent increase last week, the Euro is now declining. A major data double-header featuring labour, wages, and GDP figures for the UK and the EU is causing the EUR/GBP to weaken. As we approach …
Read More »Fed’s Harker: Higher Rates Contribute to Rising Home Prices
Federal Reserve Bank of Philadelphia President Patrick Harker said higher interest rates are making it more challenging for first-time home buyers by raising borrowing costs and limiting inventory, which is also leading to higher home prices.Higher rates discourage current owners from listing their homes for sale, which puts a crunch …
Read More »Gold price finds momentum on deepened Middle East tensions
Gold prices have recovered to around $1,850 due to the dismal market sentiment prompted by escalating tensions between Israel and Palestinians. The gold price is trading at $1852.43 per ounce at the time of writing. Dallas Federal Reserve Bank President Lorie Logan has also supported the gold price, drawing less …
Read More »Powell’s Hawkish Tone Expected to Bolster the US Dollar
Navigating by the seat of their pants – that’s a less charitable way to characterize the Federal Reserve’s recently professed reliance on real-time data for policy decisions. While we could extend some acknowledgement to Fed Chair Jerome Powell and his team, it’s apparent that the central bank is gently decelerating …
Read More »Why do Fed’s economists expect low inflation, no recession, positive growth?
Federal Reserve Bank of Chicago economists forecast that inflation will decline without pushing the US economy into a recession. They also described a Goldilocks scenario for a soft landing in a recent study. Inflation may fall below 2% by next year, negating the need for any rate increases.Stefania D’Amico and …
Read More »USD/JPY approaches 148.00 on softer Japanese wages
The USD/JPY pair surges by 0.30%, moving closer to 147.70. In order to prevent the BoJ from being pressured to change course, the USD is declining and the DXY Index is consolidating after rising to a multi-month high of 105.15 after Japan released weak GDP and earnings data.After Japan released …
Read More »Gold’s appeal worsens following US labour data
Even if other countries are suffering from the effects of tight monetary policy, the US economy is nevertheless robust. The US service sector is experiencing strong demand, which would allow the Federal Reserve to keep the door open for additional policy tightening. In comparison to estimates and the previous report …
Read More »Fed’s Mester not expecting interest rate cut early in 2024
On Tuesday, another round of Fed speakes are attracting the attention of traders, investors and market participants. “We will certainly not continue to raise interest rates until inflation has already fallen to 2%,” Cleveland Federal Reserve President Loretta Mester said.“Nor will we wait to lower interest rates until inflation is …
Read More »China’s economic woes lead to a shift in global image
With the country’s economy growing at an annual pace just above 3.5% in the second quarter. This is far from the 9.9% rate it averaged over its first three decades of economic reform. The country’s aging labour force is shrinking, and President Xi Jinping emphasizes loyalty to the Communist Party …
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