Wall Street is buzzing about the Sahm Rule after the latest US Bureau of Labour Statistics data release showed an unexpected rise in the unemployment rate. While the headline number of 206,000 new jobs created in June exceeded the 190,000 expectations, economists are concerned about several underlying factors.What is the …
Read More »Gold rallies after US labour data
Spot gold is up 1.16%, trading at $238460, and gold futures are up 1.20%, trading at $2394.45 at the time of writing. Gold has continued its positive run as investors become increasingly optimistic about the Fed’s intention to lower interest rates sooner than previously thought. The US Nonfarm Payrolls report …
Read More »What do markets expect from US NFP data?
The most important US labour data will be released later on Friday, amid expectations of a significant decline in job growth in the United States, with a stability in the unemployment rate, in addition to a limited decline in wage growth.On the first Friday of every month, the employment data …
Read More »DXY Declines On US Holiday
The US dollar is facing further scrutiny in the wake of the depressing ADP and ISM Services PMI readings. Markets become more certain that the Fed will lower rates in September. Investor focus is now shifting to the June Nonfarm Payrolls data, which is due on Friday. The DXY Index, …
Read More »US Treasury yields fall after FOMC minutes, weak data
Weak US economic statistics is the reason behind an eight basis point decline in the US 10-year Treasury yield. FOMC minutes mention the downturn in the economy and leave room for rate decreases should inflation get close to the 2% target. A decline in ADP Employment Change and a notable …
Read More »Gold declines after Powell’s remarks amid retreating T-yields
Gold fell 0.28% following Fed Chair Jerome Powell’s remarks at the ECB forum in Portugal. Powell stated that he is cautiously optimistic on disinflation and emphasizes the need for more progress before rate cuts. US Treasury yields remain firm, while the US Dollar fluctuates in familiar range. The XAU/USD trades …
Read More »Fed official: Rate cut likely in Q4
Federal Reserve President Raphael Bostic expects to begin lowering interest rates later in 2024, stating that inflation doesn’t have to fall all the way to 2% for him to favor a cut. Bostic is currently monitoring progress toward the annual target of lowering interest rates, and sees plausible scenarios in …
Read More »Fed Leans Hawkish, Rate Cuts in 2024 Uncertain
In 2024, the Federal Reserve changed its position on interest rates dramatically. The salient features are as follows: Rate-cut hopes are dampened by persistent inflation. Due to the ongoing high pace of inflation, initial expectations of three rate decreases this year have been drastically reduced. Fed officials who have previously …
Read More »High Interest Rates Still Needed to Lower Inflation, Fed official Hints
According to Fed official Mary Daly, higher interest rates are still required to reduce inflation and demand in the US economy. Though it’s unclear which scenario is more plausible, Daly thinks the Fed is prepared to act in response to both a deteriorating labour market and inflation staying above its …
Read More »U.S. Jobless Claims Rise Unexpectedly, Signaling Cooling Labor Market
The number of Americans filing for initial unemployment benefits unexpectedly rose last week, indicating a potential slowdown in the labor market’s momentum. Initial jobless claims reached 242,000 for the week ending June 8th, surpassing the consensus forecast of 225,000 and exceeding the previous week’s total of 229,000. The four-week moving …
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