Chicago Federal Reserve President Charles Evans said on Thursday that three rate hikes in 2022 would be a good “opening bid”, though it could be four if inflation doesn’t improve fast enough.Evans added that he is reluctant to declare that the US has reached full employment, but that inflation is …
Read More »Fed’s Bullard: Four Rate Hikes In 2022 Now Very Likely
According to Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis President James Bullard, four rate hikes in 2022 now appear very likely in the face of high inflation, a rate hike in March seems on the table. The labour market is as tight as anyone has ever seen it, Bullard added in …
Read More »Fed’s Clarida Announces Resignation
Fed policymaker Richard Clarida announced on Monday that he would resign from his post as Vice Chairman of the FOMC on Friday, two weeks before his term on the central bank’s board of governors had originally been scheduled to end. His announcement of early resignation follows a recent increase in …
Read More »Could Omicron Worsen Labour Shortage, Slows Economy, Boost Inflation?
The majority of grocery stores have had trouble stocking up during the pandemic due to shortages of supplies and labour. Omicron is adding to the present trouble. Canceled flights, bare shelves at grocery stores, reduced bus schedules and schools closed due to staff shortages are only a few examples.The rapid …
Read More »US Inflation Level Expectations Remain at Record High
US consumer inflation expectations for the year ahead remained at a record 6% in December of 2021, the same as in November. Home price expectations rose to 5.5% from 5% in November but remained below their May 2021 peak. Also, uncertainty and disagreement about future inflation decreased and expectations about …
Read More »US Treasury Yields Surge On Wage Growth
The US 10-year note’s yield extended its climb, reaching the highest level in nearly two years, after December employment data showing strong wage growth fanned inflationary concerns and solidified March as the likely starting point for the first rate hike by the Federal Reserve.While the 199,000 new jobs fell short …
Read More »Weaker USD Shields Gold From Surging Yields
Gold has been swinging either side of the $1790 level in recent trade in wake of the latest jobs report. XAU/USD is being shielded from higher yields by the weaker US dollar, and if this reverses, gold will be in trouble.Gold is nervously holding on to very modest on-the-day gains …
Read More »What to Expect From US Employment Data?
Markets are awaiting the release of US employment data during December at 13:30 GMT. This data will be necessary given its strong impact on the dollar and the currency market movements. Markets expect to add 400,000 jobs in December, compared to 210,000 jobs previously recorded. Expectations also indicate a decline …
Read More »Could NFP Data Ignite More Hawkish US Policy?
The financial markets’ traditionally favorite US economic statistic has been dethroned, and new classes of data became of higher importance. For the next several quarters, the main role of Nonfarm Payrolls will be to support, reinforce and confirm the Federal Reserve’s new policy which is highly sensitive to inflation. Short …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 5 January
The US dollar edged lower for most of Wednesday but got an unexpected push by the US Federal Reserve’s Meeting Minutes. US policymakers use the kind of language confirming a looming interest rate hike and that the quantitative easing, stimulus asset and asset purchases are no longer necessary.The minutes document …
Read More »