The USD/CAD has traded in a relatively directionless fashion on Thursday, initially strengthening towards above 1.2700 as the Canadian dollar weakened in tandem with an earnings-driven downturn in global equities, but more recently dropping back to the 1.2675 area on rising oil prices.At current levels, the pair is back to …
Read More »Ahead of NFP Data, Could Economic Recovery Reverse Direction?
Omicron put a massive bump in the road to America’s recovery this winter. The first signs of trouble could show up in the January jobs report on Friday, 4 February. Goldman Sachs cites survey data indicating a surge in absenteeism during the month to expect Omicron-led temporary declines in the …
Read More »Bank of England Hikes Interest Rates by 25bps to 0.50%
The Bank of England announced its monetary policy decision on Thursday and raised the benchmark interest rate by 25bps to 0.50%. The Monetary Policy Committee (MPC) voted 5-4 in favour of the rate hike. The decision was in line with market expectations and marked the first back-to-back rises since 2004. …
Read More »NZ Unemployment Rate Falls As NZD Impacted By Other Disappointment
The key quarterly labour market data roundup for New Zealand has been released as unemployment rate fell to 3.2 per cent in the fourth quarter, according to data released by Statistics New Zealand on Wednesday. While this beat expectation, it’s not moved the needle on the NZD because the rest …
Read More »Bullard: Will Fed have to become more restrictive?
St Louis Fed President James Bullard on Tuesday said that he thinks it an open question whether the Fed will have to become more restrictive (i.e. raise rates above the “neutral” 2.0%-2.5% zone). Additional Quotes:“We will be able to assess our position in a few months’ time.”“I think it’s premature …
Read More »Inflation, Deficits Cannot Dim Appeal of US Treasury Bonds
US Treasury rates remain strikingly low, partly because of the safety government debt offers corporations and retirees. Markets have been in disturbance. The Federal Reserve is taking steps to cool off the economy, as questions loom about the course of the recovery. And news headlines are announcing that government bond …
Read More »Fed’s Barkin: Rate Hikes Pace Depends On Inflation
Federal Reserve Bank of Richmond President Thomas Barkin said, Monday, that he would like the Fed to get better positioned. “How fast we go depends on how the economy develops, he added, saying also that the pace of rate hikes will depend on the pace of inflation. I’d like us …
Read More »Fed’s Bostic Expects Three Rate Hikes In 2022
Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta President Raphael Bostic on Monday said that he expects three rate hikes in 2022, in a reiteration of remarks made over the weekend. He clarified that a 50bps move in March was not the Fed’s preferred policy action and that the Fed is not fixed …
Read More »NFP expected to fall by 100000 in January
On Friday 4 February, the US official employment report will be released. Market consensus is for an increase in payrolls of 155K while Wells Fargo expects a decline by 100K. They anticipate average hourly earnings to rise by 0.6% during January.Key Quotes: “In recent months, there have been substantial revisions …
Read More »NZD/USD Rebounds Amid Improved Risk Appetite
The NZD/USD pair is enjoying a modest rebound from the 14-month lows it struck last Friday amid improved risk appetite. Traders will have plenty of US data, Fed speakers’ statements and remarks, in addition to Q4 NZ jobs data to monitor this week.A more risk-on mood in global equity and …
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