Susan Collins, the new president of the Federal Reserve Bank of Boston, said Monday that a higher unemployment rate will be needed to bring down inflation from unusually high levels, but also suggested any economic downturn would likely be modest.In her first speech as Boston Fed president, Collins said the …
Read More »Canada: Unemployment Rate jumps to 5.4% in August
Statistics Canada reported on Friday that the Unemployment Rate in Canada rose to 5.4% in August from 4.9% in July. This reading came in worse than the market expectation of 5%. Further details of the publication revealed that the Net Change in Employment was -39.7K, compared to the market expectation …
Read More »Fed’s Waller supports 75 bps hike at July meeting
“I think it is plausible that we have a growth recession where it goes below longer-run average but doesn’t go negative,” Federal Reserve Governor Christopher Waller said on Thursday. Waller added that markets would also price a 100 basis points rate hike in July, Waller is also open to a …
Read More »Senior US Treasury official: Oil may rise 40% if the price of Russian crude is not capped
A senior US Treasury official said on Tuesday that the global price of oil could rise 40 percent to about $140 a barrel if a proposed ceiling for the price of Russian crude is not imposed, along with sanctions waivers that allow shipments below that price. The official said US …
Read More »June’s US Nonfarm Payrolls rise above expectations
Nonfarm Payrolls in the US rose by 372,000 in June, the data published by the US Bureau of Labor Statistics revealed on Friday. This reading followed May’s increase of 384,000 (revised from 390,000) and came in better than the market expectation of 268,000. The Unemployment Rate remained unchanged at 3.6% …
Read More »ISM Manufacturing PMI Preview:
US ISM Manufacturing PMI is expected to indicate slower growth in June. The inflation component is critical and low expectations may lead to an upside surprise. The US ISM Manufacturing Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI) provides an understanding of the jobs-related data. PMI reading on Friday, July 1, is expected to …
Read More »Fed’s Daly: Inflation reins the US economy
On Tuesday, San Francisco Federal Reserve Bank President Mary Daly said she believes the US economy will slow to below 2% annual growth as the central bank hikes interest rates, but there will be enough momentum that it will not stop growing.“I do expect the unemployment rate to rise slightly, …
Read More »NFP, ADP Employment Change Preview: US labour market retreats
Job growth is predicted to be 300,000 up from 247,000 in April. ADP average for the fourth quarter in 2021 was 582,000, first was 530,000. NFP forecast for 320,000 in May, down from 428,000. Economists and observers see that market sensitivity to the labour market has retreated.Private payrolls from Automatic …
Read More »US Dollar Gives Away Part of Earlier Momentum
The US Dollar Index (DXY), which tracks the greenback vs. a basket of its main competitors, gives away part of the earlier spike above the 104.00 mark on Monday.Now, the index is gaining 0.21% at 103.87 and the breakout of 104.18 (2022 high May 9) would open the door to …
Read More »Canada Employment Forecasts
Canada will release April employment figures on Friday, May 6 at 12:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are forecasts from economists and researchers at five major banks regarding the upcoming employment data. CIBC “A continued strengthening of demand for consumer-facing services likely resulted in …
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