Goldman Sachs, a leading investment bank, has recently revised its forecast for a U.S. recession, decreasing the probability to 20%. This adjustment follows a brief uptick in the likelihood after a weaker-than-expected July jobs report. However, subsequent economic indicators, including retail sales and jobless claims, have mitigated concerns about an …
Read More »Financial Markets Weekly Recap: Market Resilience Amidst Cooling Inflation, Steady Growth
The past week has witnessed a notable rebound in equity markets, with the S&P 500 and the Canadian TSX surging over 6.5% and 5%, respectively, from their August 5 lows. This resurgence appears to be primarily driven by two key factors: a continued moderation in inflation and a resilient economic …
Read More »Market Drivers; US Session, August 14
The US dollar weakened again today as continued signs of cooling inflation diminished expectations for further interest rate hikes. The Dollar Index fell to its lowest level in several days as July’s CPI data reinforced the trend of declining inflation.Key economic indicators will be released today in the US, including …
Read More »Explainer: Key Contour Lines Around FOMC’s Looming Decision
The US Federal Reserve is poised to conclude its policy meeting on July Thirty First, with Chair Jerome Powell expected to discuss the central bank’s rate latest decision. This meeting is seen by most analysts as a warm-up act for September, as many Wall Street analysts are hoping for insights …
Read More »DXY Losses Curbed Following Encouraging GDP Figures
US Dollar DXY reduced losses on strong Q2 GDP data. The US economy seems to be holding up, but dovish bets on the Fed are still in place. The Fed continues to take a data-dependent approach in the interim and holds off on making any cuts very soon. Following a …
Read More »What do markets expect from US NFP data?
The most important US labour data will be released later on Friday, amid expectations of a significant decline in job growth in the United States, with a stability in the unemployment rate, in addition to a limited decline in wage growth.On the first Friday of every month, the employment data …
Read More »DXY Declines On US Holiday
The US dollar is facing further scrutiny in the wake of the depressing ADP and ISM Services PMI readings. Markets become more certain that the Fed will lower rates in September. Investor focus is now shifting to the June Nonfarm Payrolls data, which is due on Friday. The DXY Index, …
Read More »Dollar Struggles as Yen Nears 38-Year Low, Elections Grip Europe
The dollar weakened on Thursday, pressured by recent signs of a slowing U.S. economy. This offered limited support to the embattled yen, which remained near a 38-year low against the dollar, raising concerns of potential government intervention. Meanwhile, the euro and sterling held near three-week highs against the dollar as …
Read More »Dollar’s Strength Pushes Yen to 38-Year Low, Investors Eye Fed Chair’s Speech
The U.S. dollar continued its upward trajectory on Tuesday, bolstered by rising U.S. Treasury yields, while putting pressure on low-yielding currencies like the Chinese yuan and the Japanese yen, which plunged to its weakest level against the dollar since 1986. Dollar Strength Driven by Rising U.S. Yields Benchmark 10-year Treasury …
Read More »May Inflation Cools, Raising Hopes for Fed Rate Cuts
U.S. inflation eased in May, matching economists’ expectations and potentially bolstering the case for the Federal Reserve to implement interest rate cuts in 2024. The headline personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index, the Fed’s preferred inflation gauge, remained flat month-over-month, a significant slowdown from April’s 0.3% increase. The annual rate …
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