A rate hike by the US Fed next week is broadely expected, even despite the recent turmoil across financial markets. According to analysts at Wells Fargo, the chance of a 50 bps interest rate hike “has fallen tremendously given the souring outlook to growth amid higher commodity prices.”Economists believe it …
Read More »IMXSM Index decreased in February
The Investor Movement Index® (IMXSM) decreased to 6.79 in February, down from 7.07 in January. The IMX is TD Ameritrade’s proprietary, behavior-based index, aggregating Main Street investor positions and activity to measure what investors actually were doing and how they were positioned in the markets. February’s reading for the period …
Read More »Weekly Recap 28 Feb – 4 Mar
The forex markets ended the week’s trading negatively, especially after Russia bombed one of the largest nuclear power plants in Ukraine. The US dollar ended the trading on significant gains, taking advantage of the war in Ukraine, in addition to the speech of Jerome Powell, Chairman of the Board of …
Read More »Strong Jobs Data Evidence COVID’s Fading Impact On US Economy
In a buoyant sign for the US economy, businesses stepped up their hiring last month as Omicron faded and more Americans ventured out to spend at restaurants, shops and hotels despite surging inflation.Employers added a robust 678,000 jobs in February, the largest monthly total since July, the Labor Department reported …
Read More »NFP Preview: Forecasts From 3 Major Banks
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the February jobs report on Friday, March 4 at 13:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of 3 major banks regarding the upcoming employment data. Citibank “Following a …
Read More »Ahead NFP Data, Gold Surges, Hitting USD 1,940
Gold price has surged in the late New York session. It trades now 0.6% higher and has reached a new high of USD 1,941.29. The US dollar has suffered a marginal blow late in the day without fundamental changes or news headlines.The DXY index slid from 97.953 and now sits …
Read More »Macklem: QT natural next step after BoC’s rate hike
Bank of Canada Governor Tiff Macklem said on Thursday that the decision to hike interest rates means ending reinvestments and moving towards Quantitative Tightening (QT) as “a natural next step”.The timing and pace of QT will be fully transparent, Macklem added, saying that when we initiate quantitative tightening, we do …
Read More »Powell: There will be upward pressure on inflation for a while
Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell, in the second day of his semi-annual testimony before the US Congress, said that the rise in energy prices will work its way through to the US economy and there will subsequently be upwards pressure on inflation for a while. Key Quotes:“We could see people …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – 2 March
The most significant driver across financial markets on Wednesday was the testimony by Fed Chair Jerome Powell before Congress. Powell’s testimony will continue on Thursday with hints on determination to adopt QT and decide interest rate hilke in FOMC’s 16 March meeting. Economic DataPrivate employers hired more workers than expected …
Read More »Jobless Claims, NFP Expectations As US Labour Market Gains Momentum
Private employers hired more workers than expected in February and data for the prior month was revised sharply higher to show strong job gains instead of losses, aligning with other reports that have produced a positive picture of the US labour market.The ADP National Employment Report on Wednesday suggest that …
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