The US dollar has reclaimed 99.00 on expectation of strong US Services PMI on Tuesday. A preliminary estimate for the US Services PMI is 58 against the prior print of 56.5. Nearly 80% of the US economy revolves around services, which heightens attention around the US ISM services PMI as …
Read More »NFP Data Proves Win-Win For USD
The US economy gained 431000 jobs in March, on top of upward revisions and other upbeat data. There is nothing in the data suggesting that the Fed will refrain from a 50 bps rate hike. The US dollar is set to gain ground as traders take risks off the table …
Read More »Fed’s Evans: Hiking under 2.5% by March 2023 gives Fed “optionality”
Chicago Fed President and FOMC member Charles Evans on Friday said that raising interest rates to just under 2.5% by March 2023 gives the Fed “optionality”. It is not a big risk if that rate-hike path includes “some” 50 bps hikes to get to the neutral rate sooner.Monthly inflation reports …
Read More »NFP Preview: Forecasts From 4 Major Banks
The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) will release the March jobs report on Friday, April 1 at 12:30 GMT and as we get closer to the release time, here are the forecasts by the economists and researchers of 4 major banks regarding the upcoming employment data. CIBC “Employers likely …
Read More »Will NFP report tip the scales on the Fed’s decision in May?
Friday’s awaited report will be the final NFP data immediately before the next Fed meeting in early May, where traders are currently split between expecting a 25bps and a 50bps rate hike.It is like a problematic monetary policy riddle; how can a central bank raise interest rates, but be further …
Read More »US ADP Employment Expectations As Job Creation Slows Down
While yield curve flattens, US ADP payrolls are expected at 438K in March, NFP at 475K. US yield curve is flattening, tolling the bells and ringing recession alarm amid 50-bps Fed’s rate hike bets next May.Fed Chair Powell believes the labour market is strong enough, recession seems unlikely, but could …
Read More »Fed’s Harker: Interest rate hikes deliberate, methodical
Philadelphia Fed President and FOMC member Patrick Harker said on Tuesday that interest rate hikes are to be “deliberate” and “methodical”. Inflation is “far higher than … we are comfortable with” Harker said, caveating that “there are some signs in the data, and in what we hear from our contacts, …
Read More »US Shares Close Mixed As Traders Hunt For Fed’s Policy Direction
US equities were mixed throughout Friday but eventually closed higher for the week after a streak of up and down days on Wall Street as investors digest the path ahead for the US central bank’s interest rate hikes and a host of new sanctions imposed by Western nations against Russia.The …
Read More »Canadian dollar gains for 9th day on favorable yield spreads
The Canadian dollar gains against the USD. It was trading 0.4% higher at 1.2477 to the USD, or 80.15 US cents, after touching its strongest intraday level since Jan. 20 at 1.2471. It was the ninth consecutive day of gains for the Canadian currency, which is the longest winning streak …
Read More »BoC’s Kozicki: “Prepared to act forcefully” to return inflation to 2.0% target
The Bank of Canada is “prepared to act forcefully” to return inflation to its 2.0% target, said Deputy Governor Sharon Kozicki on Friday. Key Quotes:“It’s important to be clear that returning inflation to the 2% target is our primary focus and unwavering commitment.”“The pace and size of rate hikes and …
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