When markets participants feel worried about recession, all US data is suspicious. Hot inflation erodes household income. Producer prices are even higher than retail. In the US, where nearly all goods move by truck, diesel fuel hit an all-time record, ensuring inflation will be higher in April and May than …
Read More »Does Fed Know Where To Stop Hikes?
The US central bank is to notch up on Wednesday its efforts to withdraw the stimulus it showered on the US economy after the pandemic upended global economies two years ago. Fed officials are expected to raise the benchmark rate by a half percentage point and approve plans to start …
Read More »Gold falls with an imminent rates hike
Gold prices fell on Wednesday, with the increase in the yield on US Treasury bonds and an imminent hike in the interest rate, which negatively affected the demand for the precious metal. Spot gold prices fell 0.1% to $865.31 an ounce by 00:40 GMT. US gold futures fell 0.2% to …
Read More »AUD/USD bulls await Fed’s decision
The AUD/USD pair stuck to a sideways drift on Tuesday following an initial spike on the back of a hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia. AUD/USD traded between 0.7150 highs and a low of 0.7080 in New York. The RBA surprises everyone with a 25bp move. Analysts at ANZ Bank explained, …
Read More »Schnabel: ECB may need to hike rates in July
European Central Bank member, Isabel Schnabel, told a German newspaper Handelsblatt on Tuesday that the ECB may need to raise interest rates as soon as July to stop high inflation from getting entrenched.EUR/USD is higher on the day by some 0.23% yet has not reacted to the comments, sticking to …
Read More »Market Drivers – US Session – Fri. 29 April
The week finished with prevalent negative market sentiment. US equities recorded hefty losses, between 2.77% and 4.17%. China’s coronavirus outbreak which has lasted for the last couple of weeks threatens to disrupt supply chains. The US central bank’s increasing rate hikes to tackle inflation and the Ukraine-Russia conflict, further entering …
Read More »Could PCE Data Drive Looming Critical FOMC Meeting?
The Fed’s favorite inflation gauge slowed in March, in its first retreat in more than one year, according to a report issued Friday in the run-up to next week’s meeting of the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee.PCE data gives a reading of the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index that excludes …
Read More »Gold above $1900, but falls from earlier highs on US data
Gold Prices continue to trade higher on Friday amid month-end US dollar weakness, with prices still above $1900. But XAU/USD has pulled back from earlier highs with US yields rallying in wake of the latest US data dump. Traders’ focus now has switched to next week’s Fed policy meeting, with …
Read More »Fed Could Decide Three Successive Hikes 50bp Each
Analysts at Danske Bank continue to expect the Federal Reserve will hike interest rates by 50bp three meetings in a row (May -next week-, June and July) and 25bp on each of the last three meetings (September, November and December). They are still of the view that risks are skewed …
Read More »ECB Official Hints at first rate hike during Q3
European Central Bank Governing Council member Ignazio Visco has added his voice to heated discussions on when the ECB will begin to raise its benchmark interest rate.Rates in the Eurozone have been negative following the region’s sovereign debt crisis, and the ECB has confirmed that it will conclude its net …
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